GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Journal Articles

Recent Publications

Extended Cognitive Behavior Therapy for Cigarette Smoking Cessation

The Impact of Free Basic Electricity on the Energy Choices of Low Income Households: A Case Study in South Africa

International Actors, Democratization, and the Rule of Law: Anchoring Democracy?

The Fallacy of the Megatons to Megawatts Program

Options for Short-Term Price Determination in the Brazilian Wholesale Electricity Market

Another Look at Renewables on India's Sagar Island

National War Powers Commission Report

Intensity of Renal Support for Acute Kidney Injury in the Critically Ill

Strategic Leadership: Framework for a 21st Century National Security Strategy

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation: Searching for Strategy in a Fragmented Oil Sector

Health Plan Performance Measurement: Does it Affect Quality of Care for Medicare Managed Care Enrollees?

If At First You Don't Succeed: The Puzzle of South Korea's Democratic Transition

From Silkworms to Bungled Bailout: International Influences on the 1998 Regime Change in Indonesia

Looking Back: The Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty Then and Now

Wireless Bound and Unbound: The Politics Shaping Cellular Markets in Japan and South Korea

ASEAN's ''Black Swans''

Evaluating International Influences on Democratic Development: Poland 1980-1989

In the Tank: Making the Most of Strategic Oil Reserves

Modeling the Incubation Period of Inhalational Anthrax

The Window of Vulnerability That Wasn't: Soviet Military Buildup in the 1970s--A Research Note

On the Regulation of Geo-engineering

International Influences on the Turkish Transition to Democracy in 1983

Southeast Asia in Political Science: Terms of Enlistment

Quantifying the environmental impacts of trade in meat products

Encina Columns Summer 2008