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COVID-19 temperature testing in China.

The COVID-19 crisis was a profound stress test for health, economic, and governance systems worldwide, and its lessons remain urgent. The pandemic revealed that unpreparedness carries cascading consequences, including the collapse of health services, the reversal of development gains, and the destabilization of economies. The magnitude of global losses, measured in trillions of dollars and millions of lives, demonstrated that preparedness is not a discretionary expense but a foundation of macroeconomic stability. Countries that invested early in surveillance, resilient systems, and inclusive access managed to contain shocks and recover faster, proving that health security and economic security are inseparable.

For the Asia-Pacific, the path forward lies in transforming vulnerability into long-term resilience. Building pandemic readiness requires embedding preparedness within fiscal and development planning, not as an emergency measure but as a permanent policy function. The region’s diverse economies can draw on collective strengths in manufacturing capacity, technological innovation, and strong regional cooperation to institutionalize the four pillars— globally networked surveillance and research, a resilient national system, an equitable supply of medical countermeasures and tools, and global governance and financing—thereby maximizing pandemic prevention, preparedness, and response. Achieving this will depend on sustained political will and predictable financing, supported by the catalytic role of multilateral development banks and international financial institutions that can align public investment with global standards and private capital.

The coming decade presents a narrow but decisive window to consolidate these gains. Climate change, urbanization, and ecological disruption are intensifying the probability of new zoonotic spillovers. Meeting this challenge demands a shift from episodic response to continuous readiness, from isolated health interventions to integrated systems that link health, the environment, and the economy. Strengthening regional solidarity, transparency, and mutual accountability will be vital in ensuring that no country is left exposed when the next threat emerges.

A pandemic-ready Asia-Pacific is not an aspiration but an imperative. The lessons of COVID-19 call for institutionalized preparedness that transcends political cycles and emergency budgets. By treating health resilience as a global public good, the region can turn its experience of crisis into a model of sustained, inclusive security for the world.

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Building a Pandemic-Ready Asia-Pacific

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Argument and Contribution


At the national level, the United States struggled to effectively respond to the COVID-19 pandemic: federal policy was delayed and inconsistent, supply shortages were widespread, and political pressure undermined accurate public health guidance. At the state and local levels, however, there was a great deal of variation in terms of the capacity to respond to COVID. While indicators of state capacity often focus on “formal” indicators like institutional resources, staffing, and finances, translating formal capacities into effectively implemented policies is neither a simple nor an automatic process. 

In “Building the Plane While Flying,” Didi Kuo and Andrew S. Kelly draw our attention to the importance of informal indicators of public health capacity. These include strong relationships within and across government agencies, the embeddedness of health officers in local communities, and prior experience with responding to disasters, among other factors. The authors argue that local governments with strong informal capacity were better able to communicate with and learn from one another, as well as to gain the trust of community members, during the pandemic. Conversely, localities with otherwise strong formal capacities often failed to respond to the challenges at hand. This is because they were unable to effectively leverage their relationships and organizational networks.
 


The authors argue that local governments with strong informal capacity were better able to communicate with and learn from one another, as well as to gain the trust of community members, during the pandemic.


Kuo and Kelly’s paper is informed by qualitative analysis of California’s public health institutions as well as in-depth interviews with health officers across seventeen Northern, Central, and Southern California counties. The interviews illuminate the concrete processes by which local governments responded (or struggled to respond) to the COVID-19 pandemic. One of the paper’s key contributions is to push us to conceptualize state capacity more broadly and to focus on the factors that drive not just policy development, but policy implementation. 

The Importance of Informal Capacity


The bulk of the paper disaggregates informal capacity into its various mechanisms and processes. Each of these proves to be crucial in explaining different pandemic outcomes at the local level. One such mechanism is coordination within local governments. To illustrate this, consider public health officers, who enjoy broad legal powers to protect public health as well as financial resources and personnel at their disposal. By law, officers possess significant capacities to mitigate health crises. Yet across the interviews, health officers reported that effectively implementing COVID-19 policy required their cooperation and communication with a host of actors, including the County Counsel (the county’s top lawyer), Chief Administrative Officer, and Board of Supervisors, which is charged with appointing health officers.
 


Closely related to intra-governmental coordination is the importance of autonomy, particularly in the face of political pressure.


Closely related to intra-governmental coordination is the importance of autonomy, particularly in the face of political pressure. For example, boards of supervisors sometimes undermined the public guidance provided by health officers. (This guidance could range from the need to close schools to officers simply communicating truthfully with localities about COVID-19 risks.) Overcoming efforts by board members to ignore or muzzle officers required coordination between those actors who were more insulated from political pressure.

Another key component of informal capacity was prior experience responding to emergencies and California’s myriad of natural disasters, such as fires, floods, or mudslides. Health officers from more experienced counties noted their ability to draw upon established emergency procedures and partnerships. For example, some counties had previously cooperated with each other, as well as with independent agencies like the Red Cross, to provide aid and shelter to those affected by wildfires. These experiences — for which no amount of financial resources or personnel can substitute — served as templates to help coordinate COVID-19 policy responses.

Informal capacity also depended upon health departments effectively communicating with the public. Many departments initially lacked the infrastructure to do this, and therefore relied on cooperation with other actors like school superintendents, sheriffs, and community leaders. Some counties created toolkits to improve their community’s understanding of personal protective equipment (PPE) or even produced local TV shows. Still others scheduled conference calls with local hospitals, faith leaders, and nursing homes. Given that many of these communication efforts were improvised, public health officers stressed the importance of formalizing coordination between state and nonstate actors so as to improve emergency preparedness in the future.
 


In addition to coordination within local governments, effective policy-making and communication required coordination across governments.


In addition to coordination within local governments, effective policy-making and communication required coordination across governments. One such institution was the Association of Bay Area Health Officers (ABAHO), founded in the 1980s during the HIV/AIDS epidemic. ABAHO members had also coordinated policy responses to the H1N1 outbreak. These cross-county partnerships enabled early, rapid, and unified responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. By contrast, the authors find that regions without such networks faced greater challenges in developing and implementing public policy.

A final aspect of informal capacity is the social embeddedness of health officials in their communities. This includes partnerships with leaders of businesses and faith groups, teachers, and restaurant owners. Not only did these partnerships increase the scope of outreach, but they also often established relationships that had not existed beforehand. Gaining a foothold in local communities thus increased the likelihood that community members would support policies and enabled local governments to access hard-to-reach populations.
 


For federal, decentralized countries like the US, informal capacities and relationships are essential not only for delivering services but for generating legitimacy and trust among those receiving services.


Kuo and Kelly’s analysis of informal capacity should give us pause when considering existing indices of public health preparedness; some of these have ranked the United States quite high despite its often ineffective responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. That this mismatch occurs is arguably a function of observers prioritizing formal capacities. For federal, decentralized countries like the US, informal capacities and relationships are essential not only for delivering services but for generating legitimacy and trust among those receiving services.

*Research-in-Brief prepared by Adam Fefer.

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Introduction

Health care spending in South Korea is associated with improvements in health. However, it remains unclear whether the value of this spending is equally distributed across income groups.

 

Methods

We analyzed lifetime health care spending and quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) by income quintile among South Korean adults from 2010 to 2018. We then calculated the ratio of changes in health care spending to changes in QALE to estimate the value of health care spending across income groups. Additionally, we investigated mechanisms underlying income-related differences in the value of health care.

 

Results

Assuming 80% of QALE gains are attributable to health care, adults in the lowest income quintile received the least value, incurring $78,209 per QALE gained. However, middle- and higher-income quintiles achieved greater value ($47,831, $46,905, $31,757, and $53,889 from the second to highest quintile), although the highest value did not occur in the highest-income quintile. The higher spending per QALE gained in the lowest income quintile reflects smaller improvements in QALE, likely driven by poorer baseline health and greater unmet needs.

 

Conclusion

These findings highlight structural inequities in the South Korea health system and emphasize the need for targeted policies to promote equitable health care value.

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Karen Eggleston
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Public health infrastructure varies widely at the local, state, and national levels, and the COVID-19 response revealed just how critical local health authority can be. Public health officials created COVID policies, enforced behavioral and non-pharmaceutical interventions, and communicated with the public. This article explores the determinants of public health capacity, distinguishing between formal institutional capacity (i.e., budget, staff) and informal embedded capacity (i.e., community ties, insulation from political pressures). Using qualitative data and interviews with county health officers in California, this article shows that informal embedded capacity—while difficult to measure—is essential to public health capacity. It concludes by relating public health capacity to broader issues of state capacity and democracy.

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Shorenstein APARC's annual report for the academic year 2023-24 is now available.

Learn about the research, publications, and events produced by the Center and its programs over the last academic year. Read the feature sections, which look at the historic meeting at Stanford between the leaders of Korea and Japan and the launch of the Center's new Taiwan Program; learn about the research our faculty and postdoctoral fellows engaged in, including a study on China's integration of urban-rural health insurance and the policy work done by the Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab (SNAPL); and catch up on the Center's policy work, education initiatives, publications, and policy outreach. Download your copy or read it online below.

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Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2024-2025
Mai Nguyen.JPG Ph.D.

Mai Nguyen joined the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) as Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow for the 2024-2025 academic year. She holds a PhD in health services and health policy from Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Australia, and a Master of Science from Heller School for Social Policy and Management, Brandeis University.

Her doctoral research focused on how the expanding private healthcare sector can be managed more effectively to better supplement public health services to achieve universal health coverage in Vietnam. The study analyzed large and complex national health datasets from two consecutive Household Living Standard Surveys, clinical hospital data at national levels and in-depth interviews with key stakeholders of Vietnam's health system to investigate consumers' choice for private and public health care services in Vietnam. Her research findings have implications for policy change in terms of harnessing and regulating private health services in Vietnam and other Asia-Pacific countries, especially low and middle-income countries.

Dr. Nguyen has worked as a senior health specialist at Vietnam Ministry of Health. Her research interest stems from her professional experience in health policy and program management, including health policy and management, health services, private healthcare and health equity. Her works have been published in many Q1-international journals such as BMC Public Health, BMC Health Services Research, Human Resources for Health and International Journal of Health Policy and Management.

At APARC, Dr. Nguyen extended her research on the roles of private healthcare to supplement the public health sector to address the growing burden of chronic diseases and conditions in Vietnam.

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The 2020 murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis highlighted the harms of racially discriminatory policing and inspired global protests against police brutality. For many, Floyd’s death and the live courtroom trial of the officer charged with his murder was their first real exposure to police killings.

Not for J’Mag Karbeah, PhD, a health services researcher at the University of Minnesota School of Public Health. She had already begun to ask herself how these police killings of Black men were affecting the mental and physical health of Black people — particularly among mothers and adolescents. 

“As a maternal and child health researcher, after each event, I found myself asking: `How do these traumatic events impact the health of the community, especially mothers and people who can get pregnant? How do you steel yourself to bring children into this world knowing what potential harms might happen to them?’”

Police Brutality Not New

Police brutality has been part of the American fabric since its beginnings, from the slave patrols of the early 1700s to the advent of television bringing racialized police attacks on Blacks into American homes during the civil rights movement. In the last decade, bodycams and social media have put a spotlight on police killings, with Eric Garner’s death by police chokehold in 2014 going viral due to his friend catching the homicide on his smartphone.

J'Mag Karbeah speaks at Stanford Health Policy

 

According to the Washington Post’s police shootings database, as of March 7 there have been 8,283 people killed by the police in the United States since Garner’s death. Last year alone, 1,098 Americans were killed by officers — the deadliest year for civilian killings by police. 

As the Washington Post database notes, half the people shot and killed by police are white, but Black people are shot at a disproportionate rate. They account for less than 14% of the U.S. population — but are twice as likely to be gunned down and killed than whites.

Yet there is little research or discussion about the public health implications of police contact, whether it’s homicide, violence, racial profiling, or harassment.

Karbeah is working to change that. She recently gave the Health Equity Lecture at Stanford Health Policy, outlining the ways in which police contact is impacting the health and well-being of communities, from pregnant women to adolescents.

How do you steel yourself to bring children into this world knowing what potential harms might happen to them?
J'Mag Karbeah, PhD
Assistant Professor at the University of Minnesota School of Public Health

 

The Fourth Encounter

“In addition to fatal encounters, researchers often discuss police brutality associated with physical, emotional, or sexual abuse perpetrated by officers,” Karbeah said. “But there is a fourth type of police encounter that is much more common and sometimes overlooked: routine contacts such as stops, frisking and searches that don’t result in detainment.”

In a study published in JAMA Open Network in December 2021, Karbeah and coauthors found that greater police presence in Black vs. white neighborhoods appears to contribute to the persistent Black-white preterm birth disparity in Minneapolis. Their research found that of 1,059 Minneapolis residents who gave birth in 2016, the odds of preterm births for those living in a neighborhood with a high police presence were 10% greater compared to their racial counterparts in low-presence neighborhoods.

The paper notes that pregnant Black women nationwide experience preterm birth at rate approximately double that of whites and Black women are also twice as likely to experience the death of an infant younger than 1 year. SHP’s Maya Rossin-Slater also bore this out in a recent study that showed that wealthy Black mothers and infants fare worse than the poorest white mothers and infants in the United States.

“Black pregnant people who live in areas with high levels of racial segregation are more likely to give birth prematurely,” Karbeah writes in the study. “Residential segregation relegates Black people to neighborhoods disproportionately affected by poverty, violence, and crime. In lieu of policy solutions to address these issues, greater police presence has been the answer in many communities.”

Karbeah points to research showing that high police presence in neighborhoods is associated with adverse psychological outcomes for Black residents. Karbeah and colleagues suggest that pregnant people may experience these same psychological effects in ways that lead to increased stress — which in turn can lead to an increase in preterm births.

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J'Mag Karbeah speaks at Stanford Health Policy

Adolescent Health and Policing

Karbeah told the SHP lecture audience that adolescent health is another key area of her research as young people carry police encounters with them into adulthood. Their brains are still developing, and decisions made during this period can shape the rest of their lives. They are coming into their own, deciding where they fit in and who they can trust.

“An important aspect of policing that often gets lost when we start to think about police contact as a determinant of health is why people might come into to contact with the police,” Karbeah said. “Instinctively you might think, well, you usually do something bad and that is why you encounter law enforcement.”

But a cultural shift in policing, she notes, has gone from police focused on responding to crimes to a proactive model in which policing is attempting to prevent crime, leading to more officers in communities, turning more civilians into potential suspects and leading to more encounters.

“Research shows that stops are associated with stigma and shame,” Karbeah said, pointing to a study published in the Journal of Adolescent Health which shows that adolescents frequently stopped by police were more likely to report heightened emotional stress and PTSD symptoms.

“These stops are seen as unsettling or traumatic for young people and can alter a youth’s self-perception and their overall well-being,” she said. “The impact of these interactions accrues over time and becomes internalized.”

A young person may be stopped by police on the way home from school, for example, and might be left with feelings of shame, prompting them to turn away from family and friends. This can have life-course implications, she said, such as substance abuse, anxiety and depression, job loss and socioeconomic shifts.

“We were honored to host Dr. Karbeah at Stanford Health Policy for the Health Equity Lecture Series,” said Sherri Rose, a professor of health policy who leads the lecture series. “Her research on police encounters and health equity tackles challenging questions that have far-reaching implications across health policy.” 

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Toward Equal Footing

In this Q&A, Stanford Health Policy's Alyce Adams talks about the devastating impact that chronic conditions like diabetes had on her own family members.
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Striking Inequalities in Infant and Maternal Health Point to Structural Racism and Access Issues

Research by Petra Persson and Maya Rossin-Slater on health inequality finds wealthy Black mothers and infants fare worse than the poorest white mothers and infants.
Striking Inequalities in Infant and Maternal Health Point to Structural Racism and Access Issues
Dr. Utibe Essien
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Pursuing Equity in Pharmacology for Black Patients

Our recent Health Equity Lecture was given Dr. Utibe Essien, who is on a mission to ensure patients — regardless of race, ethnicity or socioeconomic status — have access to the highest-quality medications on the market.
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J'Mag Karbeah, an assistant professor at the University of Minnesota School of Public Health, gives Stanford Health Policy's latest health equity lecture, Her focus was on the public health implications for Black people who are exposed to police contact.

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Tom Kennedy is a project manager at the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions (SCCEI). He joined the team in Fall 2022 after spending three years working as a Software Engineer at Apple. Tom graduated from Stanford in 2019 with a B.S. in Mathematical and Computational Science. While at Stanford, he worked as a research assistant for SCCEI and multiple other FSI-affiliated researchers. Tom manages projects related to mental health and vision care, among other areas.

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Stanford Medicine's new Department of Health Policy held its inaugural departmental symposium on October 6, convening thought leaders and experts in medicine, law, economics and data science. Speakers discussed innovative policy work and scalable solutions for improving health equity. Panelists addressed how to reduce persistent health disparities from three angles: social determinants of health, technology and innovation, and access and affordability.

Discover the powerful role health policy can serve in ensuring the health of all people, not just a privileged few.

 

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Keynote Speaker: Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo, PhD, MD

Talk Title: Building Equity in the Research Enterprise

Editor in Chief, Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) and JAMA Network Professor of Epidemiology & Biostatistics and Medicine, University of California, San Francisco

 

 

 

 

 

Opening Remarks by Stanford Medicine Dean Lloyd Minor

Terrance Mayes, Associate Dean for Equity and Strategic Initiatives

 

 

Panel 1 — Social Policy: Strategies for Addressing Structural Determinants of Health

 

 

Moderator

Alyce Adams, Stanford Health Policy

Alyce Adams, Stanford Medicine Innovation Professor, Professor of Epidemiology and Population Health, Professor of Health Policy

 

 

 

Panelists

Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert

Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert, Professor of Health Policy

 

 

 

Gilbert Gonzales, Vanderbilt

Gilbert Gonzales, Assistant Professor at the Center for Medicine, Health & Society at Vanderbilt University

 

 

 

Adrienne Sabety, Stanford Health Policy

Adrienne Sabety, Assistant Professor of Health Policy

 

 

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Panel 2 — Technology: Optimizing Innovation for Health Impact and Equity

 

 

Joshua Salomon of Stanford Health Policy

Moderator: Josh Salomon, Professor of Health Policy, Director of the Prevention Policy Modeling Lab

 

 

 

 

Panelists

Joshua Makower, Stanford

Joshua Makower, Boston Scientific Applied Biomedical Engineering Professor, Director of the Stanford Byers Center for Biodesign

 

 

Grant Miller Stanford Health Policy

Grant Miller, Henry J. Kaiser, Jr. Professor, Professor of Health Policy

 

 

 

Sherri Rose Stanford Health Policy

Sherri Rose, Associate Professor of Health Policy, Co-Director of the Health Policy Data Science Lab

 

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Panel 3 — Access & Affordability: How to Finance and Deliver Health Care Innovations Equitably

 

 

Michelle Mello

Moderator: Michelle Mello, Professor of Health Policy, Professor of Law

 

 

 

Panelists

Nicole Cooper, UnitedHealth

Nicole Dickelson Cooper, Senior Vice President at UnitedHealth Group 

 

 

 

Stacie B. Dusetzina, Vanderbilt

Stacie Dusetzina, Associate Professor of Health Policy at Vanderbilt University Medical Center

 

 

 

Maria Polyakova Stanford University

Maria Polyakova, Assistant Professor of Health Policy

 

 

 

 

Vindell Washington Verily Life Sciences

Vindell Washington, Chief Clinical Officer of Verily Health Platforms and CEO of Onduo

 

 

 

 

 

#StanfordHealthEquity

WATCH ENTIRE EVENT HERE

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Our People, Our Reserch and Our Mission to Improve Health

 

Accreditation

In support of improving patient care, Stanford Medicine is jointly accredited by the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education (ACCME), the Accreditation Council for Pharmacy Education (ACPE), and the American Nurses Credentialing Center (ANCC), to provide continuing education for the healthcare team. 

Credit Designation 
American Medical Association (AMA) 
Stanford Medicine designates this live activity for a maximum of 4.0 AMA PRA Category 1 CreditsTM.  Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity. 

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