Economic Affairs
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Jamaica is known for sun, sand, and reggae, but it also deserves to be known for an exceptional record of debt reduction, having cut its public-debt-to-GDP ratio from 140% in 2012 to just 62% in 2024. Peter Blair Henry and co-authors explain.

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Finance & Development
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Peter Blair Henry
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Despite the large common net benefits of climate mitigation, broad-based political consensus for large-scale policy action remains elusive. We hypothesize that financial exposure to energy stocks central to the green transition can induce learning and greater support for climate mitigation policies. We conduct a RCT which randomizes both the presence of financial market exposure to the energy sector, as well as which type of portfolio — fossil-fuel (brown) or renewable energy (green) — is given to an individual. Treatment increases support for mitigation action and intent to undertake adaptation, with positive support caused by ownership of both green and brown assets. The effects are particularly pronounced among individuals who are initially more climate-skeptic, and persist eight months after treatment. We present evidence consistent with learning as the primary mechanism: treated respondents are more likely to consume financial news and become more financially knowledgeable, less likely to obtain news from polarized sources, and better able to accurately predict the environmental impacts of green and brown firms.

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CEPR Press
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Saumitra Jha
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CEPR Discussion Paper No. 21259
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Stanford University Libraries and the Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions are pleased to present the 2026 Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh Memorial Lecture featuring Professor Chang-Tai Hsieh who will be speaking on The Risks of Taiwan's Economic Boom.

To attend in person, please register here.
To attend online, please register here.



Professor Hsieh will discuss how Taiwan's Central Bank has had a longstanding unstated policy of keeping the exchange rate undervalued to boost exports. The rise of Taiwan as the center of the semiconductor industry, and more generally as the center of AI hardware, is making this policy untenable. The trade surplus reached 20% of GDP in 2025 and is likely reach an astronomical 35% of GDP this year. Furthermore, much of the surplus has been channeled into purchases of US treasury bonds by Taiwan's life insurance industry that face collapse when the Taiwan dollar appreciates.
 


About the Speaker 

 

Chang-Tai Hsieh headshot.

Professor Hsieh is the Phyllis and Irwin Winkelreid Distinguished Service Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago. He is an elected member of Taiwan's Academia Sinica, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Econometric Society. He is also a two times recipient of the Sun Ye-Fang Award of China's Academy of Social Sciences.



The family of Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh donated his personal archive to the Stanford Libraries' Special Collections and endowed the Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh Memorial Lecture series to honor his legacy and to inspire future generations. Dr. Sam-Chung Hsieh (1919-2004) was former Governor of the Central Bank in Taiwan. During his tenure, he was responsible for the world's largest foreign exchange reserves, and was widely recognized for achieving stability and economic growth. In his long and distinguished career as economist and development specialist, he held key positions in multilateral institutions including the Asian Development Bank, where as founding Director, he was instrumental in advancing the green revolution and in the transformation of rural Asia. Read more about Dr. Hsieh.

Green Library, Bing Wing, 5th floor, Bender Room
459 Lasuen Mall, Stanford, CA 94305

Chang-Tai Hsieh, Professor of Economics, University of Chicago
Lectures
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This paper explores the role of tax exemptions granted to foundations in Republican Turkey. We gathered original data of tax exemptions given to private foundations since 1967 to examine how this seemingly technical fiscal policy has functioned as a critical instrument of governance, facilitating coalition-building and co-optation of civil organizations. Our longitudinal analysis permits us to trace the continuity and evolution both at the level of the practice of tax exemption and the nature of the state’s privileged civil partners. It, therefore, provides a fresh lens to assess whether the AKP period marked a significant shift from previous periods or merely continued or amplified established patterns. Our historical and empirical investigation contributes to a more nuanced comprehension of the interplay between state mechanisms and non-public entities over time. These insights offer broader implications for understanding the mechanisms of state power and influence over civil society beyond the specifics of Turkey.

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Southeast European and Black Sea Studies
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Ayça Alemdaroğlu
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DAL Webinar 3.6.26

"Rebuilding Democracy in Venezuela" is a four-part webinar series hosted by CDDRL's Democracy Action Lab that examines Venezuela’s uncertain transition to democracy through the political, economic, security, and justice-related challenges that will ultimately determine its success. Moving beyond abstract calls for change, the series will offer a practical, sequenced analysis of what a democratic opening in Venezuela would realistically require, drawing on comparative experiences from other post-authoritarian transitions.

Venezuela stands at a critical juncture. Following Nicolás Maduro's removal in January 2026, the question facing Venezuelan democratic actors and international partners is no longer whether a transition should occur, but how it could realistically unfold and what risks may undermine it. While the first session focused on the political challenges of transition, this second conversation examines the economic foundations of democratic viability. Sustainable political change in Venezuela will depend critically on the country’s ability to stabilize its economy, restore growth, and generate tangible improvements in living conditions. At the same time, economic recovery itself is deeply conditioned by political uncertainty, institutional fragility, and governance constraints. Understanding this interaction is essential for designing realistic pathways forward.

This webinar seeks to provide a serious, policy-relevant discussion of the economic constraints shaping Venezuela’s future and the conditions under which recovery could become politically sustainable and socially inclusive. Bringing together expertise in energy economics, macroeconomic stabilization, development policy, and political economy, the session aims to inform Venezuelan actors, international partners, scholars, and practitioners with grounded and realistic insights.

SPEAKERS

  • Sary Levy-Carciente, Research Scientist, Adam Smith Center for Economic Freedom at Florida International University
    • Attracting investments and developing the non-oil economy

  • Luisa Palacios, Adjunct Professor of International and Public Affairs at Columbia School of International Affairs

    • Energy policy and finance 

  • Francisco J. Monaldi, Fellow in Latin American Energy Policy, Baker Institute and Director, Latin America Energy Program at Rice University
    • Oil and gas sector: requirements for a sustainable increase in production capacity
  • Moderator: Héctor Fuentes, Visiting Scholar at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law at Stanford University
Héctor Fuentes
Héctor Fuentes

Online via Zoom. Registration required.

Sary Levy-Carciente Panelist
Francisco J. Monaldi Panelist
Luisa Palacios Panelist
Panel Discussions

Join us for the second event in a 4-part webinar series hosted by the Democracy Action Lab — "Rebuilding Democracy in Venezuela" Friday, March 6, 12:00 - 1:15 pm PT. Click to register for Zoom.

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Noa Ronkin
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How do nations build and sustain economic power? While the rise of Asia-Pacific economies has drawn significant scholarly attention, these nations' divergent paths to success remain less understood. Stanford University's Gi-Wook Shin, the William J. Perry Professor of Contemporary Korea in the Department of Sociology, argues we need a new lens to account for cross-national variation in how countries mobilize talent to develop their workforces and achieve growth.

In his recent book, The Four Talent Giants, Shin introduces Talent Portfolio Theory, a framework that explains how four strikingly different Asia-Pacific nations – Japan, Australia, China, and India – became economic powerhouses through distinct human resource development strategies. Each nation tailored its approach to education, migration, and global networks in ways shaped by unique historical, cultural, and geopolitical contexts.

Shin – a senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and the director of the Korea Program and the Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab (SNAPL) at the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) – joined host Sydney Seiler on the Center for Strategic and International Studies' video podcast, The Impossible State, to discuss that framework, how the four Asia-Pacific "talent giants" developed, attracted, and retained talent, and what other countries, including the United States, can learn as they face new risks and opportunities in a globalized, AI-driven economy.

The Four Talent Giants, published by Stanford University Press, is part of the SUP-APARC joint monograph series, Studies of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center. The book draws on research conducted as part of SNAPL's Talent Flows and Development research track.

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Four Insights on How Countries Compete for Talent in a Globalized World

From the practices of higher education institutions to diaspora networks, talent return programs, and immigration policies of central governments, a comparative analysis by Stanford sociologist Gi-Wook Shin shows how different national human resource strategies shape economic success.
Four Insights on How Countries Compete for Talent in a Globalized World
Illustration of the four component of 'Talent Portfolio Theory' and technology concept.
Commentary

Without Securing Talent, Korea Has No Future

To survive in the global competition for talent while facing the AI era, low fertility, and the crisis of a new brain drain, South Korea must comprehensively review and continuously adjust its talent strategy through a portfolio approach.
Without Securing Talent, Korea Has No Future
Gi-Wook Shin seated in his office, speaking to the camera during an interview.
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Sociologist Gi-Wook Shin Illuminates How Strategic Human Resource Development Helped Build Asia-Pacific Economic Giants

In his new book, The Four Talent Giants, Shin offers a new framework for understanding the rise of economic powerhouses by examining the distinct human capital development strategies used by Japan, Australia, China, and India.
Sociologist Gi-Wook Shin Illuminates How Strategic Human Resource Development Helped Build Asia-Pacific Economic Giants
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Watch Stanford sociologist Gi-Wook Shin discuss his book, The Four Talent Giants, on the Center for Strategic and International Studies' video podcast, The Impossible State. Shin introduces a framework that explains how Japan, Australia, China, and India became economic powerhouses and what lessons these Asia-Pacific "talent giants" offer to other nations as they face increasingly fierce global competition for talent in the AI era.

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Aleeza Schoenberg Gelernt
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On Wednesday, February 11, the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law welcomed Karnit Flug, former Governor of the Bank of Israel. In conversation with Amichai Magen, director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program, Flug examined the current condition and long-term prospects of the Israeli economy, arguing that despite its demonstrated resilience, Israel faces a growing set of structural challenges that could undermine future growth.

Flug identified slowing productivity, widening gaps in education and labor force participation, chronic underinvestment in infrastructure, and weakened governance and institutions as “gray rhinos” — highly probable but insufficiently addressed risks. She emphasized that demographic trends, particularly the expanding share of the population receiving inadequate core education, posed a fundamental threat to economic sustainability, while political instability and erosion of institutional credibility discouraged investment. Flug concluded that averting long-term economic stagnation would require renewed policy focus on education, institutional strength, infrastructure development, and inclusive growth.

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Seminars

Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza

Wednesday, February 25, 10:00 am PT. Click to register.
Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza
Alon Tal and Amichai Magen
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Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed

Alon Tal, a former member of the Knesset, discusses Israeli democracy and the upcoming elections with Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL.
Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed
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Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History

Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.
Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History
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Former Governor of the Bank of Israel Karnit Flug examines growth, governance, and the structural risks facing Israel.

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The U.S.-Israel military aid framework is defined by a 10-year Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) for fiscal years 2019–2028, providing $38 billion ($3.3B annual Foreign Military Financing + $500M annual missile defense). This aid helps fund Israeli defense imports and joint U.S.-Israel projects like the Iron Dome missile defense system, but also provides the U.S. security establishment with unique access to Israeli defense tech. As we near the end of the current MOU, American and Israeli officials have begun discussions over the future of U.S.-Israel military innovation cooperation and financing. Recent developments suggest that the relationship may undergo substantial changes after 2028. The 2026 National Defense Strategy issued by the Pentagon, for example, describes Israel as a "model ally" — a skilled and fiscally responsible partner, bringing substantial national security benefits to the U.S. At the same time, in a recent interview with The Economist, Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, declared he intends to wean Israel off U.S. military aid entirely over the next 10 years. What factors influence U.S.-Israel security cooperation and long-term defense finance planning? How might these relations evolve over the coming decade in a world increasingly defined by war and potential great power conflict? Join former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, Daniel Shapiro, for a conversation about these essential questions.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Ambassador Daniel B. Shapiro is a distinguished fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative. From 2022 to 2023, he was the Director of the N7 Initiative.

In his most recent government service, Shapiro was Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East from 2024 to 2025, and prior to that was Senior Adviser on Regional Integration in the State Department’s Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs. He is a former US ambassador to Israel, serving from 2011 to 2017. Prior to his appointment, he worked as senior director for the Middle East and North Africa on the National Security Council at the White House, following his role as senior policy adviser in Barack Obama’s presidential campaign.

From 2001 to 2007, Shapiro worked as legislative director and later as deputy chief of staff for then-U.S. Senator Bill Nelson. From 1999 to 2001, he was director for legislative affairs at the National Security Council, serving as congressional liaison for National Security Adviser Sandy Berger. Shapiro also previously served as a staff member on the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe and the Middle East and as a senior foreign policy adviser to US Senator Dianne Feinstein.

Shapiro has served as an adjunct professor at the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service, and in 2007, he was named vice president of Timmons & Company. Shapiro was a distinguished visiting fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv from 2017 to 2021. Concurrently, he was a principal at WestExec Advisors.

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Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen
Or Rabinowitz

Virtual Only Event.

Ambassador Daniel Shapiro
Seminars

Thursday, May 21. Click for details and registration.

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Liberal order — composed of sovereign statehood, individual rights, democratic government under the rule of law, and economic openness — is under growing pressure around the world. The modern State of Israel was born with, and into, the Liberal International Order (LIO) built under American leadership in the aftermath of the Second World War and has generally thrived in that liberal world. How is Israel experiencing the challenge to liberal order and the erosion (some would say collapse) of the LIO? What shapes the Israeli experience with liberalism and public debate about the strengths and weaknesses of liberal politics? Join us for a conversation about the past, present, and possible futures of liberalism in Israel with political theorist, author, and activist Dr. Tomer Persico.   

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Dr. Tomer Persico is a Senior at the Shalom Hartman Institute and a Senior Research Scholar at the UC Berkeley Center for Middle Eastern Studies. Persico was the Koret Visiting Assistant Professor at the UC Berkeley Institute for Jewish Law and Israel Studies for three years and has taught for eight years at Tel Aviv University. His fields of expertise include cultural history, the liberal order, Jewish modern identity, contemporary spirituality, and Jewish fundamentalism. His books include The Jewish Meditative Tradition (Hebrew, Tel Aviv University Press, 2016), Liberalism: its Roots, Values and Crises (Hebrew, Dvir, 2024 and German, NZZ Libro, 2025) and In God's Image: How Western Civilization Was Shaped by a Revolutionary Idea (Hebrew, Yedioth,2021, English, NYU Press,2025). Persico is a liberal activist in Israel and has written hundreds of articles on current events for legacy media outlets, including Haaretz and The Washington Post. He lives in Jerusalem with his wife and two sons.

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Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen
Or Rabinowitz

Virtual Only Event.

Tomer Persico
Seminars

Thursday, April 16. Click for details and registration.

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G101 – Gunn Building, Stanford Graduate School of Business
655 Knight Way, Stanford

Amit Seru
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George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics, Stanford Graduate School of Business
Director of the Corporations and Society Initiative, Stanford Graduate School of Business
Director of the Program on Capitalism and Democracy, Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law
Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
Senior Fellow (by courtesy), Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
anat_admati-stanford-2021.jpg

Anat R. Admati is the George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics at Stanford University Graduate School of Business (GSB), a Faculty Director of the GSB Corporations and Society Initiative, and a senior fellow at Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. She has written extensively on information dissemination in financial markets, portfolio management, financial contracting, corporate governance and banking. Admati’s current research, teaching and advocacy focus on the complex interactions between business, law, and policy with focus on governance and accountability.

Since 2010, Admati has been active in the policy debate on financial regulations. She is the co-author, with Martin Hellwig, of the award-winning and highly acclaimed book The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do about It (Princeton University Press, 2013; bankersnewclothes.com). In 2014, she was named by Time Magazine as one of the 100 most influential people in the world and by Foreign Policy Magazine as among 100 global thinkers.

Admati holds BSc from the Hebrew University, MA, MPhil and PhD from Yale University, and an honorary doctorate from University of Zurich. She is a fellow of the Econometric Society, the recipient of multiple fellowships, research grants, and paper recognition, and is a past board member of the American Finance Association. She has served on a number of editorial boards and is a member of the FDIC’s Systemic Resolution Advisory Committee, a former member of the CFTC’s Market Risk Advisory Committee, and a former visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund.

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Anat R. Admati
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Professors Anat Admati and Amit Seru discuss the current state of institutions, dynamics, and evolving boundaries of authority in economic decision making and banking.

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