GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Journal Articles

Development, Testing, and Findings of a Pediatric- Focused Trigger Tool to Identify Medication Related Harm in US Children's Hospitals

Pediatrics, 2008

Journal Articles

Simple counts of ADL dependencies do not adequately reflect older adults' preferences toward states of functional impairment.

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 2008

Abstracts

Unintended Consequences of Repression: Alliance Formation in South Korea's Democracy Movement (1970-1979)

Social Force, The University of North Carolina Press, 2008

Journal Articles

Using Second-Generation Antidepressants to Treat Depressive Disorders: A Clinical Practice Guideline From the American College of Physicians

Annals of Internal Medicine, 2008

Working Papers

PESD Carbon Storage Project Database

Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper #76, 2008

Recent Publications

Carbon Payback Times for Crop-based Biofuel Expansion in the Tropics: The Effects of Changing Yield and Technology

The Impact of Administrative Power on Political and Economic Developments: Toward a Political Economy of Implementation

Emerging Health Economics and Outcomes Research in the Asia-Pacific Region

Hospital Ownership and Quality of Care: What Explains the Different Results?

Intergenerational support and self-rated health of the elderly in rural China. In: D. Yi, D. Poston and J. Smith (Eds).

Efforts to expand physician supply deserve scrutiny

The United Nations Convention Against Torture: A Commentary

Developing Commercial Health Insurance in China

Russian and Chinese Responses to U.S. Military Plans in Space

Development, Testing, and Findings of a Pediatric- Focused Trigger Tool to Identify Medication Related Harm in US Children's Hospitals

Credible Power-Sharing and the Longevity of Authoritarian Rule

The role of irrigation expansion in past and future temperature trends

Cost Effectiveness of HIV Screening in the Elderly

Prioritizing Future Research on Off-label Prescribing: Results of a Quantitative Evaluation

From Plan to Market in the Health Sector? China's Experience

Climate Accession Deals: New Strategies for Taming Growth of Greenhouse Gases in Developing Countries

Job Satisfaction and Motivation Among Physicians in Academic Medical Centers: Insights from a Cross-national Study

Towards a New Conceptualization of Democratization and Civil-Military Relations

From Transactional Markets to Relational Networks: Amplifying the Innovation Potential of High-Tech Regions

Variability in Pediatric Utilization of Trauma Facilities in California: 1999 to 2005

Controlling Co-epidemics: Analysis of HIV and Tuberculosis Infection Dynamics

Simple counts of ADL dependencies do not adequately reflect older adults' preferences toward states of functional impairment.

Unintended Consequences of Repression: Alliance Formation in South Korea's Democracy Movement (1970-1979)

Using Second-Generation Antidepressants to Treat Depressive Disorders: A Clinical Practice Guideline From the American College of Physicians

PESD Carbon Storage Project Database