GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Working Papers

Managing Pest Resistance in Fragmented Farms: An Analysis of the Risk of Bt Cotton in China and its Zero Refuge Strategy and Beyond

2007

Books

U.S.-India Nuclear Cooperation Agreement: Can President Bush Refuse to Follow the Expressed Will of Congress Concerning Nuclear Exports to India?

Lawyer's Alliance for World Security, 2007

Journal Articles

Recent Publications

Water User Associations and the Evolution and Determinants of Management Reform: A Representative Look at Northern China

Project Timeline: Program for the Study of Biofuels, Poverty and Food Security

Lung Cancer Incidence in Never Smokers

Discursive Choices: Boycotting Star Wars Between Science and Politics

Managing Pest Resistance in Fragmented Farms: An Analysis of the Risk of Bt Cotton in China and its Zero Refuge Strategy and Beyond

From Pablo to Osama: Trafficking and Terrorist Networks, Government Bureaucracies, and Competitive Adaptation

Amazonia Revealed: Forest Degradation and Loss of Ecosystem Goods and Services in the Amazon Basin

CDDRL Center Overview 2006

Management Reform and the Choice of Contractual Form in China

Edge of Disaster, The: Rebuilding a Resilient Nation

Irrigation Water Pricing Policy in China

When Dragons and Kangaroos Trade: China's Rapid Economic Growth and Its Implications for China and Australia

Five- and Ten-Year Homeland Security Goals

Situation in Iraq and the Administration's Strategy, The

Political Liberalism Abroad

Alternative Perspectives on Iraq

CHP/PCOR Quarterly Update, Winter 2007 Issue

U.S.-India Nuclear Cooperation Agreement: Can President Bush Refuse to Follow the Expressed Will of Congress Concerning Nuclear Exports to India?

Systematic Review: The Safety and Efficacy of Growth Hormone in the Healthy Elderly

Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Thrombolysis in Submassive Pulmonary Embolism

Is Disinflation Good for the Stock Market?

Barriers to the Identification and Management of Psychosocial Issues in Children and Maternal Depression

Protective Resources and Long-Term Recovery from Alcohol Use Disorders

The Role of Agriculture in China's Development: Past Failures, Present Successes and Future Challenges

Explaining Suicide Terrorism: A Review Essay