Publications

Browse FSI scholarship on geopolitics, global health, energy, cybersecurity and more.

Publications

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Journal Article

Arturo Casadevall, David Relman
Nature Reviews Microbiology, 2010
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Book

Yongshun Cai
Stanford University Press, 2010

Although academics have paid much attention to contentious politics in China and elsewhere, research on the outcomes of social protests, both direct and indirect, in non-democracies is still limited. In this new work, Yongshun Cai combines original fieldwork with secondary sources to examine how social protest has become a viable method of resistance in China and, more importantly, why some collective actions succeed while others fail.

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Journal Article

Sandra Penny, Gerard Roe, David S. Battisti
Journal of Climate, 2010

Feature-tracking techniques are employed to investigate why there is a relative minimum in storminess during winter within the Pacific storm track (the midwinter suppression). It is found that the frequency and amplitude of disturbances entering the Pacific storm track from midlatitude Asia are substantially reduced during winter relative to fall and spring and that the magnitude of this reduction is more than sufficient to account for the midwinter supression.

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Journal Article

Lynne C. Huffman, Brat GA, Lisa Chamberlain, Paul Wise
Academic Pediatrics, 2010

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this review was to evaluate the impact of managed care on publicly insured children with special health care needs (CSHCN).

METHODS: We conducted a review of the extant literature. Using a formal computerized search, with search terms reflecting 7 specific outcome categories, we summarized study findings and study quality.

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Working Paper

Thomas Hertel, Marshall Burke, David Lobell
GTAP, 2010

Accumulating evidence suggests that agricultural production could be greatly affected by climate change, but there remains little quantitative understanding of how these agricultural impacts would affect economic livelihoods in poor countries. Here we consider three scenarios of agricultural impacts of climate change by 2030 (impacts resulting in low, medium, or high productivity) and evaluate the resulting changes in global commodity prices, national economic welfare, and the incidence of poverty in a set of 15 developing countries.

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Journal Article

Wolfram Schlenker, David Lobell
Environmental Research Letters, 2010

There is widespread interest in the impacts of climate change on agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and on the most effective investments to assist adaptation to these changes, yet the scientific basis for estimating production risks and prioritizing investments has been quite limited. Here we show that by combining historical crop production and weather data into a panel analysis, a robust model of yield response to climate change emerges for several key African crops.

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Book

Martha Crenshaw
Russell Sage Foundation, 2010

The 9/11 terrorist attacks opened America's eyes to a frightening world of enemies surrounding us. But have our eyes opened wide enough to see how our experiences compare with other nations' efforts to confront and prevent terrorism? Other democracies have long histories of confronting both international and domestic terrorism. Some have undertaken progressively more stringent counterterrorist measures in the name of national security and the safety of citizens. But who wins and who loses?

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Policy Brief

Department of Defense, 2010

The Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) is a legislatively-mandated review of Department of Defense (DoD) strategy and priorities. The QDR will set a long-term course for DoD as it assesses the threats and challenges that the nation faces and re-balances its strategies, capabilities and forces to address today's conflicts and tomorrow's threats.

Executive summary (excerpt):

The mission of the Department of Defense is to protect the American people and advance our nation’s interests.

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Journal Article

Mark C. Thurber, David Hults, Patrick Heller
Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, 2010

Norway has made a point of administering its petroleum resources using three distinct government bodies: a national oil company (NOC) engaged in commercial hydrocarbon operations; a government ministry to help set policy; and a regulatory body to provide oversight and technical expertise.  In Norway's case, this institutional design has provided useful checks and balances, helped minimize conflicts of interest, and allowed the NOC, Statoil, to focus on commercial activities while other government agencies regulate oil operators including Statoil itself.  Norway's relative success in managin

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Journal Article

Daniella Perlroth, Glass RJ, Davey VJ, Cannon D, Alan M. Garber, Douglas K. Owens
Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2010

BACKGROUND: The optimal community-level approach to control pandemic influenza is unknown. METHODS: We estimated the health outcomes and costs of combinations of 4 social distancing strategies and 2 antiviral medication strategies to mitigate an influenza pandemic for a demographically typical US community. We used a social network, agent-based model to estimate strategy effectiveness and an economic model to estimate health resource use and costs. We used data from the literature to estimate clinical outcomes and health care utilization.

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Journal Article

Scott Sagan, Steven E. Miller
Daedalus, 2010
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Journal Article

Thomas Isaacs, Charles McCombie
Daedalus, 2010

This two-volume special issue of Daedalus highlights the challenges associated
with the global expansion of nuclear power. The topics covered include environmental
impacts, nuclear safety, and the economics of nuclear power production, but the major emphasis is on nonproliferation and security aspects. To develop an understanding of possible problems and their potential solutions in all of these areas, it is necessary to
understand the nuclear fuel cycle. This article focuses on the back-end stages of the fuel cycle--namely, storage, reprocessing and disposal.

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Journal Article

Siegfried Hecker
Daedalus, 2010

This essay briefly reviews what North Korea’s nuclear capabilities are and shows how
technical capabilities and political intent were inextricably intertwined in shaping the program. The essay then turns to Scott Sagan’s theoretical framework of three models for the bomb to show how Pyongyang’s deep security fears, augmented by domestic and diplomatic drivers, have dominated its decision to build and keep the bomb. The essay concludes with lessons learned from North Korea for the nonproliferation regime.

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Journal Article

Jennifer Burney, Lennart Woltering, Marshall Burke, Rosamond L. Naylor, Dov Pasternak
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2010

Meeting the food needs of Africa's growing population over the next half-century will require technologies that significantly improve rural livelihoods at minimal environmental cost. These technologies will likely be distinct from those of the Green Revolution, which had relatively little impact in sub-Saharan Africa; consequently, few such interventions have been rigorously evaluated. This paper analyzes solar-powered drip irrigation as a strategy for enhancing food security in the rural Sudano-Sahel region of West Africa.

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Journal Article

Colleen D. Acosta, Mucio Kit Delgado, Michael A. Gisondi, Amritha Raghunathan, Peter A. D’Souza, Gregory Gilbert, David A. Spain, Patrice Christensen, N. Ewen Wang
Academic Emergency Medicine, 2010

Background: Since California lacks a statewide trauma system, there are no uniform interfacility pediatric trauma transfer guidelines across local emergency medical services (EMS) agencies in California. This may result in delays in obtaining optimal care for injured children.

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Journal Article

The MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society, John (Jack) Rowe, Laura Carstensen
Contexts, 2010

In "Facts and Fictions About an Aging America" (Contexts, Fall 2009), our research group unpacked a series of widely held, inter-related misconceptions about our aging population and outlined the broad societal implications of the realities. With the realities articulated and myths exposed, we can start to explore how policy-makers can effectively invest across the life course to create a successful aging society. We call for a new approach to aging—one that involves not only new policies, but also new ways to think about aging in America.

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Journal Article

Jacob N. Shapiro, David A. Siegel
Security Studies, 2010

We analyze a seemingly simple question: When should government share private information that may be useful to terrorists?

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Book

Chaim Braun, Scott D. Sagan, Michael E. Brown, Owen R. Coté Jr., Sean M. Lynn-Jones, Steven E. Miller
MIT Press (International Security reader), 2010

The spread of nuclear weapons is one of the most significant challenges to global security in the 21st century. Limiting the proliferation of nuclear weapons and materials may be the key to preventing a nuclear war or a catastrophic act of nuclear terrorism. Going Nuclear offers conceptual, historical, and analytical perspectives on current problems in controlling nuclear proliferation. It includes essays that examine why countries seek nuclear weapons as well as studies of the nuclear programs of India, Pakistan, and South Africa.

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Journal Article

Kurella Tamura M, Mary Goldstein, Perez-Stable EJ
Nephrology, Dialysis, Transplant, 2010

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Rates of dialysis withdrawal are higher among the elderly and lower among Blacks, yet it is unknown whether preferences for withdrawal and engagement in advance care planning also vary by age and race or ethnicity. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: We recruited 61 participants from two dialysis clinics to complete questionnaires regarding dialysis withdrawal preferences in five different health states.

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Journal Article

Jan M. Stupl, Gotz Neuneck
Science & Global Security, 2010

This article presents a method developed to assess laser Directed Energy Weapon engagements. This method applies physics-based models, which have been validated by experiments. It is used to assess the capabilities of the Airborne Laser (ABL), a system for boost phase missile defense purposes, which is in development under supervision of the U.S. missile defense agency. Implications for international security are presented.

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Policy Brief

Michael Chaitkin
NYU Center on International Cooperation, 2010

Despite extensive and ongoing debate about economic sanctions, policy makers disagree about their effectiveness. This is to some extent surprising given the frequency and ceremony with which states sanction each other to achieve their policy goals. Analytically, this confusion is understandable; the multitude of factors that influence the outcome of a conflict involving sanctions confounds the task of evaluating the impact of sanctions.

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Working Paper

Victor Fuchs
SIEPR, 2010

A collection of core faculty Victor Fuchs' articles on actions needed for meaningful health care reform in the United States.

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Journal Article

Cynthia A. Yock, Isbill JM, King SB, Mark Hlatky
Journal of Invasive Cardiology, 2010
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