GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Books

North Korea: 2005 and Beyond

2006

Journal Articles

Effect of Geriatrics Evaluation and Management on Nursing Home Use and Health Care Costs: Results From a Randomized Trial

Medical Care, 2006

Journal Articles

Addressing Resource Allocation Issues in Recommendations from Clinical Practice Guideline Panels: Suggestions from an American College of Chest Physicians Task Force

Chest, 2006

Books

What Can a Pilot Congestive Heart Failure Disease Management Program Tell Us About Return on Investment? A Case Study from a Program Offered to Federal Employees

Disease Management, 2005

Working Papers

The Impact of Patient Self-Testing of Prothrombin Time for Managing Anticoagulation: Rationale and Design of VA Cooperative Study #481 -- The Home INR Study (THINRS)

Journal of Thrombosis and Thrombolysis, 2005

Journal Articles

Design of the VA/NIH Acute Renal Failure Trial Network (ATN) Study: Intensive Versus Conventional Renal Support in Acute Renal Failure

Clinical Trials, 2005

Journal Articles

Parental Childcare and Children's Educational Attainment: Evidence from China

Applied Economics, 2005

Recent Publications

North Korea: 2005 and Beyond

Effect of Geriatrics Evaluation and Management on Nursing Home Use and Health Care Costs: Results From a Randomized Trial

Addressing Resource Allocation Issues in Recommendations from Clinical Practice Guideline Panels: Suggestions from an American College of Chest Physicians Task Force

From Crisis to Opportunity

China's Rural Public Finance: The Village Perspective - Annex 8

Recovering Sustainable Development

Reconciling Rates of Return to Education in Rural China

Degradation of Biological Weapons Agents in the Environment: Implications for Terrorism Response

What Can a Pilot Congestive Heart Failure Disease Management Program Tell Us About Return on Investment? A Case Study from a Program Offered to Federal Employees

Closing the Quality Gap: A Critical Analysis of Quality Improvement Strategies (Vol. 3: Hypertension Care)

Is Debt Relief Efficient?

Children’s Social Welfare in China, 1989–1997: Access to Health Insurance and Education

India in the World Trading System

Constitutional Roulette: The Russian Parliament's Battles with the President Over Appointing a Prime Minister

Al Qaeda's Miscommunication War: The Terrorism Paradox

The Effects of Power Sector Reform on Energy Services for the Poor

Are Certain Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial Structures Misleading Clinical and Policy Decisions?

Risk of Intestinal Helminth and Protozoan Infection in a Refugee Population

Democracy, History, and Migrant Labor in South Korea: Korean Chinese, North Koreans, and Guest Workers

The Impact of Patient Self-Testing of Prothrombin Time for Managing Anticoagulation: Rationale and Design of VA Cooperative Study #481 -- The Home INR Study (THINRS)

Carbon intensity of electricity generation and CDM baseline: case studies of three Chinese provinces

Rural Land and Labor Markets in the Process of Economic Development: Evidence from China

Presidential Report to the Congress: Net Benefit Analysis of US/Soviet Arms Control

Design of the VA/NIH Acute Renal Failure Trial Network (ATN) Study: Intensive Versus Conventional Renal Support in Acute Renal Failure

Parental Childcare and Children's Educational Attainment: Evidence from China