GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Working Papers

Population-Based Assessments of Ophthalmologic and Audiologic Follow-up in Children With Very Low Birth Weight Enrolled in Medicaid: A Quality-of-Care Study

Pediatrics, 2008

Working Papers

Development, Testing, and Findings of a Pediatric- Focused Trigger Tool to Identify Medication Related Harm in US Children's Hospitals

Pediatrics, 2008

Journal Articles

Isolated disease of the proximal left anterior descending artery. comparing the effectiveness of percutaneous coronary interventions and coronary artery bypass surgery

JACC: Cardiovascular Interventions, 2008

Annual Reports

Recent Publications

The Effect of Informal Caregiving on Labor Market Outcomes in South Korea

What Iranian leaders really say about doing away with Israel

Satellite Monitoring of Yield Responses to Irrigation Practices Across Thousands of Fields

Population-Based Assessments of Ophthalmologic and Audiologic Follow-up in Children With Very Low Birth Weight Enrolled in Medicaid: A Quality-of-Care Study

Societal Determinants of National and European Identities: 1995 and 2003 in comparison

Carbon Payback Times for Crop-based Biofuel Expansion in the Tropics: The Effects of Changing Yield and Technology

The Impact of Administrative Power on Political and Economic Developments: Toward a Political Economy of Implementation

Lebanese Cinema: Imagining the Civil War and Beyond

Hospital Ownership and Quality of Care: What Explains the Different Results?

Emerging Health Economics and Outcomes Research in the Asia-Pacific Region

Efforts to expand physician supply deserve scrutiny

Intergenerational support and self-rated health of the elderly in rural China. In: D. Yi, D. Poston and J. Smith (Eds).

The United Nations Convention Against Torture: A Commentary

Development, Testing, and Findings of a Pediatric- Focused Trigger Tool to Identify Medication Related Harm in US Children's Hospitals

Credible Power-Sharing and the Longevity of Authoritarian Rule

Russian and Chinese Responses to U.S. Military Plans in Space

The role of irrigation expansion in past and future temperature trends

Cost Effectiveness of HIV Screening in the Elderly

Individual differences in insular sensitivity during loss anticipation predict avoidance learning

Isolated disease of the proximal left anterior descending artery. comparing the effectiveness of percutaneous coronary interventions and coronary artery bypass surgery

Shorenstein APARC Center Overview 2007-2008

Towards Probabilistic Projections of Climate Change Impacts on Global Crop Yields

Frequency of HIV Screening in the Veterans Health Administrations: Implications for Early Diagnosis of HIV Infection

Strategies for Combating Bioterrorism

Affect Dynamics, Affective Forecasting, and Aging