GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Working Papers

"If You Have The Flu Symptoms, Your Asymptomatic Spouse May Better Answer The Willingness-to-pay Question": Evidence From A Double-bounded Dichotomous Choice Model with Heterogeneous Anchoring

Journal of Health Economics, 2009

Journal Articles

Factors Influencing the Enrollment of Eligible Extremely-Low-Birth-Weight Children in the Part C Early Intervention Program

Academic Pediatrics, 2009

Policy Briefs

Final report: Agricultural Decision-Making in Indonesia with ENSO Variability: Integrating Climate Science, Risk Assessment, and Policy Analysis

Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University, 2009

Journal Articles

Children with Special Health Care Needs: How Immigrant Status is Related to Health Care Access, Health Care Utilization, and Health Status

Maternal and Child Health Journal, 2009

Journal Articles

Nutrient Imbalances in Agricultural Development

Science, 2009

Journal Articles

Multicenter Randomized Trial of Robot-Assisted Rehabilitation for Chronic Stroke: Methods and Entry Characteristics for VA ROBOTICS

Neurorehabilitation and Neural Repair, 2009

Working Papers

Role of Carbon Capture Technologies in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Models: A Parametric Study for the U.S. Power Sector

Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, Working Paper #85, 2009

Journal Articles

First Steps of the USA Under Barack Obama: An Interim Resumé

Kulturelemente. Zeitschrift für aktuelle Fragen, 2009

Working Papers

Efficiency Analysis of Elementary Schools in China

University of California, Davis / Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2009

Recent Publications

Does Health Insurance Make You Fat?

Quality-Based Payment for Medical Groups and Individual Physicians.

The September 2004 Beslan Terrorist Incident: New Findings

"If You Have The Flu Symptoms, Your Asymptomatic Spouse May Better Answer The Willingness-to-pay Question": Evidence From A Double-bounded Dichotomous Choice Model with Heterogeneous Anchoring

Factors Influencing the Enrollment of Eligible Extremely-Low-Birth-Weight Children in the Part C Early Intervention Program

Final report: Agricultural Decision-Making in Indonesia with ENSO Variability: Integrating Climate Science, Risk Assessment, and Policy Analysis

Reforming Counterterrorism: Institutions and Organizational Routines in Britain and France

Dialysis: Phosphorus Binders and Survival: Need for Randomized Trials.

Crime, War and Global Trafficking: Designing International Cooperation

Evaluating the Surgery Literature: Can Standardizing Peer-review Today Predict Manuscript Impact Tomorrow?

Comparative Effectiveness Research Prioritization

Climate Extremes and Crop Adaptation

The Concurrent Validity and Responsiveness of the Health Utilities Index (HUI 3) Among Patients with Advanced HIV/AIDS

Governance Structures and Resource Policy Reform: Insights from Agricultural Transition

Children with Special Health Care Needs: How Immigrant Status is Related to Health Care Access, Health Care Utilization, and Health Status

Nutrient Imbalances in Agricultural Development

Multicenter Randomized Trial of Robot-Assisted Rehabilitation for Chronic Stroke: Methods and Entry Characteristics for VA ROBOTICS

A Randomized Trial of Therapies for Type 2 Diabetes and Coronary Artery Disease

Quality Improvement Strategies for Children With Asthma

Managing Demand-Side Economic and Political Constraints on Electricity Industry Re-structuring Processes

Regionalization and Mortality in Neonatal Intensive Care

Case for No First Use, The

Role of Carbon Capture Technologies in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Models: A Parametric Study for the U.S. Power Sector

First Steps of the USA Under Barack Obama: An Interim Resumé

Efficiency Analysis of Elementary Schools in China