GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Journal Articles

Underestimating the Consequences of Use of Nuclear Weapons: Condemned to Repeat the Past's Errors?

Physics and Society, 2005

Journal Articles

Rebuilding Weak States

Foreign Affairs, 2005

Journal Articles

Combining Field Surveys, Remote Sensing and Regression Trees to Understand Yield Variations in an Irrigated Wheat Landscape

Agronomy Journal, 2005

Journal Articles

Rules and Equilibria: A Formal Conceptualization of Institutions with an Application to Norwegian Agricultural Policy Making

Role of Institutions in Rural Policies and Agricultural Markets, 2004

Journal Articles

Randomized Clinical Trial of the Efficacy of Bupropion Combined with Nicotine Patch in the Treatment of Adolescent Smokers

Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 2004

Journal Articles

Recent Publications

Underestimating the Consequences of Use of Nuclear Weapons: Condemned to Repeat the Past's Errors?

Rebuilding Weak States

Combining Field Surveys, Remote Sensing and Regression Trees to Understand Yield Variations in an Irrigated Wheat Landscape

Evidence-based medicine and policy: the case of the implantable cardioverter defibrillator

Right to Withdraw from the NPT: The Views of Two NPT Negotiators, The

Specialty Selection and Lifetime Returns to Specialization Within Medicine

Rules and Equilibria: A Formal Conceptualization of Institutions with an Application to Norwegian Agricultural Policy Making

Randomized Clinical Trial of the Efficacy of Bupropion Combined with Nicotine Patch in the Treatment of Adolescent Smokers

Effectiveness of Nuclear Weapons against Buried Biological Agents

Learning from the Japanese Economy

Children's Food Consumption During Television Viewing

Hybrid Maize - A maize simulation model that combines two crop modeling approaches

Evaluation of KNAVE-II: a tool for intelligent query and exploration of patient data

Should U.S. hospitals go 24/7?

Problem of Redundancy Problem: Why More Nuclear Security Forces May Produce Less Nuclear Security, The

Modeling guidelines for integration into clinical workflow

America's Role in Asia in 2004: An Overview

African-American Grils' Dietary Intake While Watching Television

Biotechnology and Bioterrorism: An Unprecedented World

Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming

Predictors of Medical Service Utilization Among Substance Abusers with HIV Infection

Airborne Boost-Phase Ballistic Missile Defense

Democracy and Human Development in the Broader Middle East: A Transatlantic Strategy for Partnership

Hospital Competition Under Regulated Prices: Application to Urban Health Sector Reforms in China

Empirical Test of Methods for Estimating Price Elasticities from Household Survey Data, An