International Relations

FSI researchers strive to understand how countries relate to one another, and what policies are needed to achieve global stability and prosperity. International relations experts focus on the challenging U.S.-Russian relationship, the alliance between the U.S. and Japan and the limitations of America’s counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan.

Foreign aid is also examined by scholars trying to understand whether money earmarked for health improvements reaches those who need it most. And FSI’s Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center has published on the need for strong South Korean leadership in dealing with its northern neighbor.

FSI researchers also look at the citizens who drive international relations, studying the effects of migration and how borders shape people’s lives. Meanwhile FSI students are very much involved in this area, working with the United Nations in Ethiopia to rethink refugee communities.

Trade is also a key component of international relations, with FSI approaching the topic from a slew of angles and states. The economy of trade is rife for study, with an APARC event on the implications of more open trade policies in Japan, and FSI researchers making sense of who would benefit from a free trade zone between the European Union and the United States.

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The format of this presentation is each of the three speakers will have approximately 15 minutes to present their research.  This will be followed by a short period of 5-10 minutes for any questions or comments from the audience.

In this session of the Corporate Affiliates Research Presentations, the following will be presented:

 

Hong Cao, PetroChina, "The Role of Large Enterprises in China's Innovation Economy"

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China's economy has made tremendous achievements in the past 20 years, and the number of patent applications has also ranked first since 2011.  China is now trying to change its economic growth mode from investment-led infrastructure construction and manufacturing to an innovation-driven one.  It is widely accepted that large enterprises should be main actors in this process of economic transformation.  However, can Chinese large enterprises take on such responsibilities?  In his research, Cao shows there is still a big gap between Chinese and international innovative enterprises both in innovation quality and transformation, and state-owned enterprises still have the problem of insufficient innovation capacity.  In this presentation, Cao argues that increasing the R&D investment to double the current level, establishing innovation accelerators, and implementing institutional reforms are the top priorities for creating an innovative China.

 

Kazumasa Ito, Mitsubishi Electric, "How Can Mitsubishi Electric Play a Role in Urban Air Transportation Business?"

New disruptors that change the way of traveling may be arising from airspace, in addition to existing ride- and car-sharing, that have changed people's minds and will have an effect on car sales.  Many start-ups and aircraft manufacturers are tackling the challenge to realize the urban air transportation business and have begun to improve the level of technology.  In his research, Ito focused on the technologies used in the urban air transportation ecosystem and concluded that Mitsubishi Electric could provide some of these technologies.  He suggests that Mitsubishi Electric should find the partners by leveraging its U.S. offices and other group companies, which could become a lesson for other Japanese companies.  

 

Yoshihiro Kato, Future Architect, Inc., "How Can Companies Adopt Artificial Intelligence in Business?"

Deep learning has received a great deal of attention since it broke a conventional method at an image recognition competition in 2012.  Since then, almost every industry is exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to improve productivity and make innovation.  Tech giants such as Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Baidu and others that have invested large amounts of resources to AI have become far more advanced than other companies.  How can ordinary companies adopt AI in their business?  In his presentation, Kato shares insights into the essential factors for companies to implement AI in business.

Hong Cao PetroChina
Kazumasa Ito Mitsubishi Electric
Yoshihiro Kato Future Architect, Inc.
Seminars
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The format of this presentation is each of the three speakers will have approximately 15 minutes to present their research.  This will be followed by a short period of 5-10 minutes for any questions or comments from the audience.

In this session of the Corporate Affiliates Research Presentations, the following will be presented:

 

Kazushi Nomura, Japan Patent Office, "Does the Supreme Court Decision Regarding Patent Eligibility Stifle Innovation in Artificial Intelligence?"

In the United States, the standard of patent eligibility of software-related inventions has been significantly raised and complicated since a Supreme Court decision (Alice Corp. v. CLS Bank) in 2014 that has sparked considerable discussion in the patent community.  According to the report published by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) in 2017, companies in the computer-related industry are divided in their view on the Supreme Court decision.  Some companies that had suffered from a large number of patent lawsuits, mainly from Patent Assertion Entities (PAEs), welcome the decision because it protects against abusive patent litigation.  Other companies, however, oppose the decision, insisting that it hurts the value of patents and innovation.  One leading Artificial Intelligence (AI) company has argued that the decision is curtailing innovation in cutting edge areas of information technology such as artificial intelligence.  Why does this company insist that the Supreme Court decision stifles research on AI technology?  In his research, Nomura tries to reveal the background by analyzing patent data.

 

Ramya Raveendran, Reliance Life Sciences, "Regulatory Requirements for Registration of Biosimilar Products"

Biosimilars are blockbuster drugs in the sense that they are affordable copies of the expensive original biologic drug, providing much needed affordable quality healthcare.  A number of top selling biologic brands in key therapeutic areas are due to lose product patent protection over the next few years, opening a wealth of opportunities for biosimilar players.  Biosimilar product development for launch in multiple geographic locations with various regulatory expectations would require a clear and concise understanding of the regulatory framework of each region.  In her research, Raveendran's primary goal is to understand the regulatory requirements for registration of biosimilar products in various global markets and to also compare and contrast the regulatory requirements of these regions.

 

Toshiyuki Watanabe, The Asahi Shimbun, "The Stanford Process:  Key Factors and Successful Implementation of Entrepreneurship Education"

Stanford University continues its role as a farm of Silicon Valley as many successful start-ups have their beginnings here.  How does Stanford teach entrepreneurship?  Through auditing classes and utilizing other resources, Watanabe has observed and experienced some of the education system of entrepreneurship at Stanford.  In his presentation, he shares his insights on key factors of the "idea fo start-up" process.  He also proposes how his own company, The Asahi Shimbun, should implement these key factors in their innovation process.  

Kazushi Nomura Japan Patent Office
Ramya Raveendran Reliance Life Sciences
Toshiyuki Watanabe The Asahi Shimbun
Seminars
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The formate of this presentation is each of the three speakers will have approximately 15 minutes to present their research.  This will be followed by a short period of 5-10 minutes for any questions or comments from the audience.

In this session of the Corporate Affiliates Research Presentations, the following will be presented:

 

Hiroto Akai, Ministry of Finance, Japan, "New Trends of Corporate Finance in Japan and the Role of Corporate Governance"

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After the launch of the Abe administration, the Japanese economy has been prospering thanks to a vibrant global economy and weaker yen.  In the wake of economic upswing, Japanese corporate profit increased to record-high level.  However, some economists argue that most Japanese corporations used increased profit to accumulate cash holding but they did not increase investment and dividend payment.  In his research, Akai characterizes the behavior of Japanese corporations in recent years using corporate financial data and clarifies the relationship with their corporate governance which is one of the most progressive policy areas in the Abe administration.  Akai also tries to develop the model to explore quantitatively the determination of corporate behavior.

 

Takahito Inoshita, Kozo Keikaku Engineering, "How Can Cities Identify Policy Needs by Using Natural Language Data"

Obtaining intelligence from large amount of data is getting more and more common in a variety of domains as information technology evolves and everyone has access.  Particularly in commercial sectors, many companies try to capture their customers' thoughts.  In public sectors, it is also important to know what their citizens think, prefer, want and need in order to improve their communities.  In his research, Inoshita examines how to make sure of information technology in the public policy domain, with a focus on extracting intelligence from natural language data generated by humans.

 

Michelle Chen, Yongjin Group, "Chinese Fintech Market Research Balance Transfer Business"

Due to the shift in Chinese economic structure from an investment-driven model towards a consumption-driven model, an increase in outstanding balance of China personal consumption loan, more digital adoption, and innovation through technology development, the Chinese Fintech market is booming in recent years.  It presents immense opportunities for financial players. New business models are observed across the key areas in the financial services industry in China, such as online asset trading, online consumer finance, P2P, online investment, etc.  In her own experience, Chen has the opportunity to observe various Chinese Fintech start-up companies and do some research and investment.  One of her own investments, Samoyed Financial, provides online credit card repayment service in China.  In this research presentation, Chen shares her knowledge gained regarding the Chinese online credit card repayment market based on due diligence and first-hand observation.

Hiroto Akai Ministry of Finance, Japan
Takahito Inoshita Kozo Keikaku Engineering
Michelle Chen Yongjin Group
Seminars
Paragraphs

In 2008, when Michael McFaul was asked to leave his perch at Stanford and join an unlikely presidential campaign, he had no idea that he would find himself at the beating heart of one of today’s most contentious and consequential international relationships. As President Barack Obama’s adviser on Russian affairs, McFaul helped craft the United States’ policy known as “reset” that fostered new and unprecedented collaboration between the two countries. And then, as U.S. ambassador to Russia from 2012 to 2014, he had a front-row seat when this fleeting, hopeful moment crumbled with Vladimir Putin’s return to the presidency. This riveting inside account combines history and memoir to tell the full story of U.S.-Russia relations from the fall of the Soviet Union to the new rise of the hostile, paranoid Russian president. From the first days of McFaul’s ambassadorship, the Kremlin actively sought to discredit and undermine him, hassling him with tactics that included dispatching protesters to his front gates, slandering him on state media, and tightly surveilling him, his staff, and his family.

From Cold War to Hot Peace is an essential account of the most consequential global confrontation of our time.

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Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
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Michael A. McFaul
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Thursday, April 26, 2018 at 05:00 PM until 06:00 PM

Peking University
Atrium M11
Beijing 100871
China

This event is intended for students and recent alumni of this university. If this doesn't sound like you, find an event that's open to the public or hosted by your school by visiting our events calendar.

Please join us to learn more about the Knight-Hennessy Scholars program at Stanford University. Each Knight-Hennessy Scholar will receive full financial support to pursue a degree in any of the 145+ graduate programs at Stanford - from PhDs in education, engineering, humanities, and sciences to professional degrees like JD, MBA, MD, or MFA.

Our application will open on May 1, 2018 for enrollment in fall 2019. You are eligible to apply if you earned (or will earn) your bachelor's degree in 2014 or later.

The event will include a presentation covering Stanford University, the Knight-Hennessy Scholars program, and the admission process. There will be ample opportunity to ask questions of an Admission Officer. 

REGISTRATION: https://apply.knight-hennessy.stanford.edu/register/Peking2018

Peking University
Beijing 100871
China

Lectures
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Please note: RSVP's are full for this event. Please email PLABOON@STANFORD.EDU to add your name to the waitlist.

 

During its March 2018 National People’s Congress (NPC) meeting, the PRC’s national delegates voted nearly unanimously to eliminate term limits for China’s president and vice president. Alongside this dramatic announcement, the NPC further announced drastic re-organization of Party and state such that the Chinese state administration saw significant cuts, consolidation and centralization of power under the CCP.

At this watershed moment, leading experts on Chinese politics will examine what these Constitutional changes bode for China’s future and Xi Jinping’s rule. Are these game changers? Is China abandoning key parts of Deng Xiaoping’s legacy?  How will these affect China’s authoritarian resilience or governance system going forward?  What are the short- and long-term implications of this decision for China’s continuing stability, sustained economic growth and foreign policy?

Please join us for this special panel event with top China experts as they discuss the significance and implications of the recent NPC decisions and Constitutional amendments.


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fewsmith
Joseph Fewsmith is professor of international relations and political science at the BU Pardee School. He is the author or editor of eight books, including, most recently, The Logic and Limits of Political Reform in China (January 2013). Other works include China since Tiananmen (2nd edition, 2008) and China Today, China Tomorrow (2010). Other books include Elite Politics in Contemporary China (2001), The Dilemmas of Reform in China: Political Conflict and Economic Debate (1994), and Party, State, and Local Elites in Republican China: Merchant Organizations and Politics in Shanghai, 1890-1930 (1985). He is one of the seven regular contributors to the China Leadership Monitor, a quarterly web publication analyzing current developments in China. Fewsmith travels to China regularly and is active in the Association for Asian Studies and the American Political Science Association. His articles have appeared in such journals as Asian Survey, Comparative Studies in Society and History, The China Journal, The China Quarterly, Current History, The Journal of Contemporary China, Problems of Communism, and Modern China. He is an associate of the John King Fairbank Center for East Asian Studies at Harvard University and the Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer Range Future at Boston University.

 

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gallagher
Mary Gallagher is professor of political science at the University of Michigan as well as the director of the Kenneth G. Lieberthal and Richard H. Rogel Center for Chinese Studies. She received her Ph.D. in politics in 2001 from Princeton University and a B.A. from Smith College in 1991.  In 1989, she was a foreign student in China at Nanjing University. Gallagher later taught at the Foreign Affairs College in Beijing from 1996-1997 and was a Fulbright Research Scholar from 2003 to 2004 at East China University of Politics and Law in Shanghai, China. In 2012-2013, she was a visiting professor at the Koguan School of Law at Shanghai Jiaotong University. Her book, Authoritarian Legality in China: Law, Workers, and the State is out from Cambridge University Press this year. Gallagher have also written/edited several other books, including Contagious Capitalism:  Globalization and the Politics of Labor in China (Princeton 2005), Chinese Justice: Civil Dispute Resolution in Contemporary China (Cambridge 2011), From Iron Rice Bowl to Informalization:  Markets, Workers, and the State in a Changing China (Cornell 2011), and Contemporary Chinese Politics: New Sources, Methods, and Field Strategies (Cambridge 2010).

 

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miller
Alice Miller is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and lecturer in East Asian studies at Stanford. Miller first joined the Hoover Institution in 1999 as a visiting fellow. She also served as a senior lecturer in the Department of National Security Affairs at the US Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California, 1999-2014. Before coming to Stanford, Miller taught at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University in Washington, DC. From 1980 to 1990, she was a professorial lecturer in Chinese history and politics at SAIS. From 1990 to 2000, she was an associate professor of China studies and, for most of that period, director of the China Studies Program at SAIS. She also held a joint appointment as adjunct associate professor in the Department of Political Science at Johns Hopkins from 1996 to 1999 and as adjunct lecturer in the Department of Government, Georgetown University, from 1996 to 1998. From 1974 to 1990, Miller worked in the Central Intelligence Agency as a senior analyst in Chinese foreign policy and domestic politics and as a branch and division chief, supervising analysis on China, North Korea, Indochina, and Soviet policy in East Asia. Miller has lived and worked in Taiwan, Japan, and the People’s Republic of China; she speaks Mandarin Chinese.

 

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Shih
Victor Shih is an associate professor of political economy at University of California, San Diego, and has published widely on the politics of Chinese banking policies, fiscal policies and exchange rates. He was the first analyst to identify the risk of massive local government debt, and is the author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation. Prior to joining U.C. San Diego, Shih was a professor of political science at Northwestern University and former principal for The Carlyle Group.Shih is currently engaged in a study of how the coalition-formation strategies of founding leaders had a profound impact on the evolution of the Chinese Communist Party. He is also constructing a large database on biographical information of elites in China.

 

Joseph Fewsmith <br><i>Professor of International Relations and Political Science, Boston University, Pardee School</i><br><br>
Mary Gallagher <br><i>Professor of Political Science; Director, Center for Chinese Studies, University of Michigan</i><br><br>
Alice Miller <br><i>Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University</i><br><br>
Victor Shih <br><i>Associate Professor, School of Global Policy & Strategy, University of California, San Diego</i><br><br>
Conferences
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The format of this presentation is each of the three speakers will have approximately 15 minutes to present their research.  This will be followed by a short period of 5-10 minutes for any questions or comments from the audience.

In this session of the Corporate Affiliates Research Presentations, the following will be presented:

 

Jiangbo Lu, PetroChina, "The Influence Factors of International Crude Oil Price and the Feasible Countermeasure

Oil plays a vital role in the world economy, social development and national strategic security.  The international oil price fluctuates with dramatic and unpredictable changes and exerts far-reaching influences on the economic development of all countries across the world.  In his research, Lu shares a brief historic review of the international oil prices and analysis on the influencing factors of oil price fluctuation in the perspectives of supply-demand, finance, political and emergent events.  Further, Lu investigates the proactive and effective strategies for China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) to have high-quality development by reducing costs and increasing benefits to enhance the company's cord competitiveness against the drastic fluctuations of the international oil price.  

 

Takeshi Okamoto, Ministry of Economy, Trade & Industry, Japan, "The Role of Creation and Redistribution of Wealth with Regards to the Economic Welfare of a Country"

Increasing wealth often refers to material wealth such as income & property and, in general, is a good thing.  Economic growth always has high priority in government policy.  Utilizing AI technology, big data analysis, IoT, and so on, we aim to extend not only lifespan, but also "healthspan", to realize next-generation mobility technology, to foster talent for programming and so on from the viewpoint of economic growth.  All are important, however, by realizing these, will we be happier than we are now?  What issues should be considered as life expectancy exceeds 85 years while the population growth rate continues to decline?  In his research, focusing on people's happiness rather than economic growth, Okamoto aims to provide a slightly different viewpoint when considering the emphasis in government policies.

 

Hayato Watanabe, Hamamatsu Shinkin Bank, "Regional Financial Institutions:  Their Role in Connecting Japanese Manufacturing Businesses with Silicon Valley Start-ups"

Japan's global market share is rapidly shrinking.  As a regional financial institution, the Hamamatsu Shinkin Bank focuses on supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).  With a goal of connecting enterprises in Japan with Silicon Valley Start-ups focusing on manufacturing, Watanabe has interviewed several Silicon Valley venture capitalists with expertise in manufacturing development.  In his research presentation, Watanabe shares his findings on how and why Japanese SMEs need to modify their business style and practices to expand their market share, including how to make prototype products with start-ups in Silicon Valley.  
 

Jiangbo Lu PetroChina
Takeshi Okamoto METI, Japan
Hayato Watanabe Hamamatsu Shinkin Bank
Seminars
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We have reached capacity for CEMEX Auditorium and are no longer accepting RSVPs

Watch

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Michael McFaul, former US ambassador to Russia and director of Stanford's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, shares an inside account of U.S.-Russia relations. In 2008, when he was asked to step away from Stanford and join an unlikely presidential campaign, Professor McFaul had no idea that he would find himself at the beating heart of one of today’s most contentious and consequential international relationships. Marking the publication of his new book, From Cold War to Hot Peace, this talk combines history and memoir to tell the full story of U.S.-Russia relations from the fall of the Soviet Union to the new rise of Vladimir Putin.

 

 

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Michael McFaul, MA '86, is a professor of political science, director and senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, and the Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. He has served the Obama administration as Special Assistant to the President, Senior Director for Russian and Eurasian Affairs at the National Security Council at the White House, and most recently as the U.S. Ambassador to the Russian Federation. Professor McFaul has written and edited several books on international relations and foreign policy and his op-ed writings have been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Washington Post. His latest book is From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin's Russia. As a NBC News analyst, he provides expertise on foreign affairs and national security coverage.

 

This event is co-sponsored by The European Security Initiative & Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, Stanford University. It is free and open to the public.

 

CEMEX Auditorium

Stanford Graduate School of Business

Encina Hall
616 Jane Stanford Way
Stanford, CA 94305-6055

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Senior Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Ken Olivier and Angela Nomellini Professor of International Studies, Department of Political Science
Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution
mcfaul_headshot_2025.jpg PhD

Michael McFaul is the Ken Olivier and Angela Nomellini Professor of International Studies in Political Science, Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, and the Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, all at Stanford University. He joined the Stanford faculty in 1995 and served as FSI Director from 2015 to 2025. He is also an international affairs analyst for MSNOW.

McFaul served for five years in the Obama administration, first as Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Russian and Eurasian Affairs at the National Security Council at the White House (2009-2012), and then as U.S. Ambassador to the Russian Federation (2012-2014).

McFaul has authored ten books and edited several others, including, most recently, Autocrats vs. Democrats: China, Russia, America, and the New Global Disorder, as well as From Cold War to Hot Peace: An American Ambassador in Putin’s Russia, (a New York Times bestseller) Advancing Democracy Abroad: Why We Should, How We Can; and Russia’s Unfinished Revolution: Political Change from Gorbachev to Putin.

He is a recipient of numerous awards, including an honorary PhD from Montana State University; the Order for Merits to Lithuania from President Gitanas Nausea of Lithuania; Order of Merit of Third Degree from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine, and the Dean’s Award for Distinguished Teaching at Stanford University. In 2015, he was the Distinguished Mingde Faculty Fellow at the Stanford Center at Peking University.

McFaul was born and raised in Montana. He received his B.A. in International Relations and Slavic Languages and his M.A. in Soviet and East European Studies from Stanford University in 1986. As a Rhodes Scholar, he completed his D. Phil. in International Relations at Oxford University in 1991. 

CV
Date Label
Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
Seminars
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The format of this presentation is each of the three speakers will have approximately 15 minutes to present their research.  This will be followed by a short period of 5-10 minutes for any questions or comments from the audience.

In this session of the Corporate Affiliates Research Presentations, the following will be presented:

 

Hiroki Morishige, Shizuoka Prefectural Government, "Regional Revitalization:  Overcoming Population Decline by Innovation and Work-Style Revolution"

Population decline has been a major issue for Japan.  In the near future, this problem will cause a labor shortage and weaken local economies.  In order to overcome these, economic growth is an important key, and improvement of labor productivity is an essential element.  Labor productivity = GDP / Working hours, so we need to improve GDP by innovation and reduce working hours by work-style reform.  Morishige intends to propose approaches to realize regional revitalization in his hometown of Shizuoka by linking a bridge of innovation between Silicon Valley and Shizuoka.

 

Hiroshi Nishinaka, Ishin Co., Ltd., "How Large Japanese Enterprises Collaborate with Start-ups to Accelerate Innovation Effectively"

Silicon Valley continues to attract attention as the center of tech start-ups and innovation.  A growing proportion of the most valuable companies in the U.S. are tech companies such as Silicon Valley based tech giants -- Apple, Alphabet, and Facebook. Therefore, many large Japanese enterprises have recently been sending people to accelerate internal innovation, utilizing the Silicon Valley ecosystem.  However, many of these Japanese enterprises face common difficulties due to the cultural gap and complicated decision-making processes.  In his research, Nishinaka will share some insights into how large Japanese enterprises collaborate with start-ups to accelerate innovation effectively.  

 

Jeong Ah Ryou, The Yozma Group, "Key Success Elements of Venture Capital Ecosystem in the U.S."

Korea is considered a country with an advanced venture capital industry.  In 2017, the amount of newly arranged venture funds was over $4.4 billion USD and the total investment amount is $2.4 billion USD, each setting the highest record respectively. Although, the total size of venture capital investment is rapidly increasing each year along with the support of policy-based funds, it should be noted that the supply of venture capital to start-ups is still not sufficient compared to Korea's market size.  In her research Ryou investigates the virtuous cycle of the venture capital ecosystem in the U.S., which has mainly been driven by the private sector.  Ryou will present some of her observations of key findings and current issues about the U.S. venture capital ecosystem.  

Hiroki Morishige Shizuoka Prefectural Government
Hiroshi Nishinaka Ishin Co., Ltd.
Jeong Ah Ryou The Yozma Group
Seminars
News Type
News
Date
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On March 23, SCPKU hosted a lecture and discussion on “President Trump: The Future of US Foreign Policy and America’s Role in the World” featuring Anja Manuel, co-founder and partner of the US-based international consulting firm RiceHadleyGates LLC, lecturer in Stanford’s International Policy Studies Program, and author.  The lively session was moderated by Wang Dong, Peking University Professor in the School of International Studies and Director of the Center for Northeast Asian Strategic Studies.  The event drew an audience of over 100 people representing the Chinese academic community, think tanks, the business and government sectors, and the Stanford alumni community.  

Manuel opened her talk by outlining a number of factors contributing to Trump’s flip-flopping on many foreign policy issues and the unprecedented turnover within his administration during his first year in office.  She asserted that Trump, a business leader and pragmatist, is the first US President not solidly wedded to the post-World War II international order that the US worked to create and uphold.  Furthermore, while he has men on his side providing sound and independent advice, he also has people in his inner circle working against each other.  “Even when things are moving really smoothly, it’s very difficult to have an effective White House policy,” she observed. “So this constant infighting makes it even tougher.” 

Manuel also commented on some of the key trends and challenges facing Trump’s administration including instability in the Middle East, Russia’s aggressive policies, the rise of superpowers China and India, and increased nativism in the US and Europe. She highlighted Russian President Putin’s strategy of sowing seeds of instability in the West to offset weakness at home including the rise of oil prices and decreasing life expectancy.  China and India, she also observed, have already had a profound impact on the world.  Within 12 years, these two countries will house 40% of the world’s middle class compared to the U.S. and Europe who, together, will have only 20%.  “No matter what our president says,” she argued, “in order to prosper, we have to do business together.” At the same time, she encouraged the two countries to step up and take more responsibility for the global order.  Manuel cited China’s leadership role in the United Nations’ humanitarian aid efforts as a prime example. She also touched on the United States’ and Europe’s moves to extreme protectionism because of pressure from core constituencies left behind after a decade of open borders and increased globalization and trade.  The US and Europe, Manuel asserted, need to renew their own systems to reverse what she hopes is a temporary “defensive crouch.”

Finally, Manuel dived deeper into U.S.-China relations, a key focus for her during the last decade.  She sees growing frustrations on both sides and increased finger pointing on sensitive issues including unemployment, trade imbalances, fair market access, and theft of cyber secrets.  “Even American constituents most positive toward US-China relations feel a bit taken advantage of, and these issues are well within the Chinese government’s power to get right,” she argued. In closing, Manuel expressed optimism that the US and China can find a new way to get along and recognize mutual benefits in doing so.  “It makes sense for both great powers to work together on our biggest issues including trade, climate change, and terrorism; don’t let a temporary blip in populism get in the way,” she challenged.

dsc 2209 Anja Manuel and Wang Dong field questions from the audience after Manuel's lecture, March 23, 2018.

Anja Manuel and Wang Dong field questions from the audience after Manuel's lecture, March 23, 2018.
Photo credit:  Stanford University

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Anja Manuel at SCPKU
Anja Manuel lectures at SCPKU, March 23, 2018.
Stanford University
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