What to Do about Flu? A Public Health Challenge
Infectious diseases, especially those transmitted from person to person through the respiratory route, continue to pose a threat to the global community. Public health surveillance systems and the International Health Regulations are intended to facilitate the recognition of and rapid response to infectious diseases that pose the risk of developing into a pandemic, but the response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic illustrates the continuing challenges to implementing appropriate prevention and control measures. The response to the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic will be discussed and its implications examined.
Speaker biography:
Arthur Reingold, MD is Professor and Head of the Division of Epidemiology and Associate Dean for Research in the School of Public Health (SPH) at the University of California, Berkeley (UCB). He holds concurrent appointments in Medicine and in Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF). He completed his BA and MD degrees at the University of Chicago and then completed a residency in internal medicine at Mt. Auburn Hospital in Cambridge, Massachusetts. He is board certified in internal medicine and holds a current medical license in California, but has devoted the last 25 years to the study and prevention of infectious diseases in the U.S and in developing countries throughout the world.
He began his career as an infectious disease epidemiologist at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), working there for eight years. While at CDC, he worked domestically on Toxic Shock Syndrome, Legionnaires’ disease, bacterial meningitis, fungal infections, and non-tuberculous mycobacterial infections and internationally on epidemic meningitis in West Africa and Nepal.
Since joining the faculty at UCB in 1987, he has worked on a variety of emerging and re-emerging infections in the U.S.; on acute rheumatic fever in New Zealand; and on AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and acute respiraatory infections in Brazil, Uganda, Ivory Coast, Zimbabwe, India and Indonesia. He has directed the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Fogarty AIDS International Training and Research Program at UCB/UCSF since its inception in 1988; co-directed (with Dr. Duc Vugia of the California Department of Health Services), the CDC-funded California Emerging Infections Program since its inception in 1994; and served as the Principal Investigator of the UCB Center for Infectious Disease Preparedness (CIDP) since its inception in 2002.
He also has ongoing research projects concerning malaria in Uganda; HIV/AIDS and related conditions in Brazil; and tuberculosis in India. He regularly teaches courses on epidemiologic methods, outbreak investigation, and the application of epidemiologic methods in developing countries, among others. He also teaches annual short courses on similar topics in Hong Kong, Brazil, Switzerland, and other countries.
He has been elected to membership in the American Epidemiological Society; fellowship in the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the Infectious Diseases Society of America; and membership in the Institute of Medicine of the National Academy of Sciences. In Hong Kong, He has a close working relationship with Chinese University, particularly with its School of Public Health and its Centre for Emerging Infectious Diseases. Dr. Reingold gives short courses at the School of Public Health each year and he serves on the Advisory Board of the Centre for Emerging Infectious diseases.
Reuben W. Hills Conference Room
Shorenstein APARC scholars discuss President Obama's November 2010 Asia visit
Beyond his childhood ties to Hawai'i and Indonesia and his
self-styled designation as "America's first Pacific President,"
President Barack Obama has demonstrated significant and genuine interest in
Asia and in developing trans-Pacific ties. He embarked on November 5 for the
second presidential visit to Asia during his term, and while there he will
visit India, Indonesia, South Korea to attend the summit of the Group of 20
(G20), and finally to Japan to attend the annual heads of state meeting of the
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) conference. Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton will travel a week ahead of Obama to attend the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) gathering and the East Asia Summit (EAS) in
Vietnam, followed by visits to Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand and
Australia. Her trip will include an added-in stop to China's Hainan Island. To
address major issues surrounding the President's trip to Asia--including the
"China question" and historic U.S. bilateral alliances--four scholars
from the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC)
gathered for a public panel discussion on October 27.
Thomas Fingar, Oksenberg/Rohlen Distinguished Fellow of the
Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, spoke about the
symbolic aspects of Obama's visit, noting the importance of a presidential
visit for showing a sense of real commitment to the region and an
acknowledgement of the "rise" of countries like China and India. On a
more pragmatic side, he also suggested that meeting in person with other
leaders is crucial in order to "bring about deliverables." The
omission of a visit to China should not be weighed too heavily, Fingar said,
pointing out that the President visited China last year. The stops in Japan and South Korea are tied to
important multilateral meetings, though they will also reaffirm longstanding
ties with those allies, while the visit to India is an indication of growing
relations between the two countries. Of particular importance is Obama's
participation in the G20 Summit in South Korea and the APEC meeting in Japan
because, Fingar stated, a major purpose of the visit is about the "United
States having a role in building new multilateral institutions." Finally,
while much of the success of the Asia trip rests on how well Obama conducts
himself, Fingar expressed confidence that the President would skillfully manage
the visit.
During his visit to Indonesia, Obama will meet with Indonesia's President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono for a bilateral
discussion of such issues as economics, security, and higher education. Donald K. Emmerson, director of the Southeast Asia Forum, said that the
postponement of earlier-planned visits to Indonesia has lessened some of the
enthusiasm for Obama's "homecoming" to Jakarta. China's omission on
the trip agenda is noteworthy, he suggested, and Clinton's addition of a stop
in Hainan is due, in part, to help alleviate recent tension between the United
States and China regarding China's claim of sovereignty over the South China
Sea. Clinton's involvement in the EAS is an "important multilateral
engagement" for the United States because of the presence of its ally
Japan and the fact that the United States and China both have a voice there,
unlike the ASEAN Plus Three meetings that do not include the United States.
While in recent months the U.S.-China relationship has become more strained,
Emmerson asserted that the "United States is not going to get into a cold
war with China."
Obama will travel from Indonesia to South Korea for the G20 Summit, another
major multilateral engagement during his travels. David Straub,
associate director of the Korean Studies Program, described several significant
aspects of this time in South Korea. While not technically an organization,
Straub said, the Summit is an important forum for the discussion of economic
stability and growth. Similar to Fingar, Straub noted the efficacy and
significance of in-person meetings. The Summit provides an opportunity for
world leaders to have face-to-face discussions on non-economic issues, such as
North Korea's political situation. Straub suggested that President Lee
Myung-bak's investment in the Summit is based, in part, on raising South
Korea's global prestige, which is tied also to increasing the status of the G20
to become the premiere global financial organization. Finally, Straub stated
that alongside the G20 meeting, Obama and Lee are expected discuss bilateral
relations, which are at an all-time high, including the stalled U.S.-South
Korea free trade agreement (Korus FTA). The FTA, which would be the most
significant free trade agreement for the United States since NAFTA, has faced
opposition and mixed support on both sides.
Obama's visit to India will be the third U.S. presidential visit there in the
past decade, which is indicative of changing U.S. perceptions of India brought
about through the IT boom and growing economic ties, suggested Daniel C. Sneider, associate director of research for Shorenstein APARC. Sneider
pointed to a broader shared agenda despite a lack of clarity on some issues,
such as Pakistan, and a focus on India as Asia's "other" growing economy. He
stated that he would be watching for the United States and India to work
together to emphasize India's role in East Asia, highlighted by India's
participation in the EAS. India's Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has championed
a "look east" policy and expressed stronger interest in East Asia, especially
China. In terms of Obama's visit to the APEC heads of state conference in
Japan, Sneider noted the importance of this trip also for the U.S.-Japan
alliance. The newly formed government of Prime Minister Naoto Kan has
worked to ease tensions in the alliance and both countries hope to use the
visit to bolster a more positive image of the alliance. Certain points of
contention, like the move of the U.S. military base on Okinawa, have been put
aside for the time being. Sneider stated that recent China-Japan tensions have
also served to reinforce the importance of the relationship.
Events during Obama's Asia visit in the next two weeks will help to solidify or possibly call into question his image as the "Pacific President," and undoubtedly influence the role of the United States in Asia for the future.
Energy Working Group Talk: Suzi Kerr on Designing More Effective International Policy to Reduce Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation
Effectively addressing emissions from deforestation will require both an international policy - to address the global nature of the climate problem, and domestic policies - to effectively respond to the international policies and take unilateral action; Suzi will be focusing on the former.
The key challenges in reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) policy are monitoring, permanence, and additionality - leakage and adverse selection as well as the risks involved if REDD is linked explicitly to international carbon markets. They propose an international system based on national baselines, temporary rewards for protection and externally replicable monitoring and illustrate the potential outcomes in terms of additional carbon storage, the cost of emissions reductions, and transfers of resources between countries. Suzi will also briefly discuss how national governments might respond to an international policy of this type.
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Suzi Kerr graduated from Harvard University in 1995 with a PhD in Economics. Following that she was an Assistant Professor at the University of Maryland - College Park from 1995 through 1998. From 1999 to 2009 Kerr co-founded and was Director of Motu. She has been a visiting scholar at Resources for the Future (USA), Victoria University, and, from Jan - August 2001, in the Joint Center for the Science and Policy of Global Change at MIT.
Suzi Kerr is a Visiting Professor in the Economics Department at Stanford University and a Senior Research Associate in Stanford's Program in Energy and Sustainable Development. She is also a Senior Fellow at Motu Economic and Public Policy Research in New Zealand.
Stanford University
Got Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube? Mastering Social Networks for Academic Outreach
Margot Gerritsen is an Associate Professor in Energy Resources Engineering. Originally from the Netherlands, she left the country after receiving her MSc degree from Delft University of Technology. She earned her PhD in Computational Mathematics from Stanford in 1996. After teaching at the University of Auckland in New Zealand for five years, she returned to Stanford in 2001. Together with her colleagues and students, Margot works to develop computational tools to optimize the development of energy resources. She is active in large-scale solar development, wind farm optimization, marine energy, as well as mitigation of the harmful environmental impacts of oil and gas production. Margot is an expert in energy resources, fluid dynamics and computational mathematics, and teaches courses in these areas. She regularly advises NGOs, VCs, policymakers and the energy industry. Margot produces a podcast show on energy issues at http://www.smartenergyshow.com.
Ian Hsu has been director of Internet Media Research at Stanford since 2007. A graduate of Stanford's class of 1998 in electrical engineering, Ian went on to earn a master's in management science and engineering in 2001. He previously worked at Advanced Micro Devices and Spansion, AMD's spinoff, the latter as a manager of internet marketing, before joining a startup called FilmLoop in 2006. For his work on Stanford's university Facebook strategy, Ian was awarded the 2009 Excellence in New Communcations Award by the Society for New Communication Research (SNCR), a global non-profit research and education think-tank dedicated to the understanding of new media. Ian's work at Stanford has been covered by many educational and new media publications including The Chronicle of Higher Education, CASE Currents, Mashable and Inside Facebook.
CISAC Conference Room
Japan's Search for Strategy
Is Japan Adrift?
The political drift in Japanese politics and the meteoric rise of China have led many analysts to begin discounting Japan as a major player in the international system. However, beneath the frustration caused by Prime Minister Taro Aso's abysmal poll ratings and opposition leader Ichiro Ozawa's campaign finance scandal, Japan continues moving steadily forwrd in pursuit of a more active national security strategy. While Japanese poliics are in structural paralysis, Japanese political thought is not. Indeed, a consensus is apparent in a series of unofficial strategic documents issued by scholars and politicians this last year. Meanwhile, the Japan Self Defense Forces have recently stood up their first fully independent and joint operational commands to deal with the North Korean missile launch and Somali pirates.
Japan has always been a conservative society, slow to change well established institutions and patterns of behavior in the face of new strategic circumstances. But Japan has also historically been finely attuned to three strategic coordinates:the power of the world's leading hegemon, the power of China, and the threat from the Korean peninsula. All three are in flux, and so too is Japan's future strategic trajectory
About the Speaker
Michael Green is a senior adviser and holds the Japan Chair at CSIS, as well as being an associate professor of international relations at Georgetown University. He served as special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Asian affairs at the National Security Council (NSC) from January 2004 to December 2005. He joined the NSC in April 2001 as director of Asian affairs with responsibility for Japan, Korea, and Australia/New Zealand. From 1997 to 2000, he was senior fellow for Asian security at the Council on Foreign Relations, where he directed the Independent Task Force on Korea and study groups on Japan and security policy in Asia. He served as senior adviser in the Office of Asian and Pacific Affairs at the Department of Defense in 1997 and as consultant to the same office until 2000. From 1995 to 1997, he was a research staff member at the Institute for Defense Analyses, and from 1994 to 1995, he was an assistant professor of Asian studies at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), where he remained a professorial lecturer until 2001.
Green speaks fluent Japanese and spent over five years in Japan working as a staff member of the National Diet, as a journalist for Japanese and American newspapers, and as a consultant for U.S. business. He graduated from Kenyon College with highest honors in history in 1983 and received his M.A. from Johns Hopkins SAIS in 1987 and his Ph.D. in 1994. He also did graduate work at Tokyo University as a Fulbright fellow and at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology as a research associate of the MIT-Japan Program. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, The International Institute for Strategic Studies, and the Aspen Strategy Group and is vice chair of the congressionally mandated Japan-U.S. Friendship Commission. He serves on the advisory boards of the Center for a New American Security and Australian American Leadership Dialogue.
Philippines Conference Room
Crisis, Crackdown, and Credibility in Malaysia
In 2009, buffeted by the global economic slowdown, Malaysia’s economy is predicted to shrink. Deputy Prime Minister Najib Razak is expected to replace unpopular Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi as Malaysia’s top leader early in April. On 23 March the government banned the two main opposition newspapers, Suara Keadilan and Harakah. Earlier in March an opposition lawmaker was forced out of the national parliament after demanding that Najib answer allegations of involvement in the gruesome murder of a Mongolian model, Altantuya Shaaribuu, in 2006. The killing has been linked to a 110-million-euro “commission” paid to a close confidante of Najib by a French firm for the sale of submarines to Malaysia. In February Najib used local parliamentary defections to take over Perak, one of the five states won in March 2008 by the opposition in elections whose results embarrassed the government. An independent poll shows that Najib is even less popular than Badawi. Prof. Chin will address the implications of these and other aspects of current political turbulence in Malaysia.
James Chin has written widely on Malaysian politics and the Chinese diaspora in Southeast Asia, among other topics. Minority rights, ethnic politics, and good governance are among his current interests. Before his Monash appointment he headed a business school. Before that he worked as a financial journalist. He has a doctorate from Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand.
Philippines Conference Room