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(excerpt) The last time a global depression originated in the United States, the impact was devastating not only for the world economy but for world politics as well. The Great Depression set the stage for a shift away from strict monetarism and laissez-faire policies toward Keynesian demand management. More important, for many it delegitimized the capitalist system itself, paving the way for the rise of radical and antiliberal movements around the world.

This time around, there has been no violent rejection of capitalism, even in the developing world. In early 2009, at the height of the global financial panic, China and Russia, two formerly noncapitalist states, made it clear to their domestic and foreign investors that they had no intention of abandoning the capitalist model. No leader of a major developing country has backed away from his or her commitment to free trade or the global capitalist system. Instead, the established Western democracies are the ones that have highlighted the risks of relying too much on market-led globalization and called for greater regulation of global finance.

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Francis Fukuyama
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This colloquium will feature presentations by two visiting scholars from China. First, Dr. Huijun Liu will present research on health risks associated with gender imbalance in China. The problems of abnormal sex ratio at birth and high female infant mortality have plagued many Asian countries with a strong male preference and gender inequality. In China, these problems having lasted for more than twenty years and contributed to a serious gender imbalance in the population. As a direct consequence, “surplus men” or “forced bachelors,” are expected to increase to more than 30 million. Dr. Liu will discuss the potential health risks and other social problems likely to be exacerbated by this large-scale gender imbalance in China.

Second, Dr. Dahai Zhao will present “How Is Health Insurance Coverage Utilized among Migrant Workers in Shanghai, China?” According to the regulations of the Chinese national and Shanghai municipal governments, migrant workers employed in Shanghai should all be entitled to the Shanghai Migrant Worker Hospitalization Insurance (SMWHI) without premium and the vast majority should also have coverage through the New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS). Dr. Zhao will present results from research, conducted jointly with Dr. Wei Yu and Dr. Alan M. Garber, examining the status of the coverage and utilization of health insurance among migrant workers employed in Shanghai. Through their study, they found that a significant minority of migrant workers in Shanghai still had no health insurance, and that health insurance utilization among migrant workers was strongly limited by hospital location.

Huijun Liu is an associate professor in the Public Policy and Administration School at Xi'an Jiaotong University, China. She received her PhD in management science and engineering from the Management School of Xi'an Jiaotong University. Her main areas of research focus on gender imbalance, reproductive health, vulnerability, and social support. Her current research focuses on how gender imbalance and migration amplify the risk of HIV transmission in China. Liu has published over twenty papers in Chinese academic journals, including China Soft Science, Population and Economics, Psychological Science Advance, Collection of Women's Studies, and Modern Preventive Medicine.

Dr. Zhao is an assistant professor with the School of Public Economics and Administration at Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (SUFE), and a fellow with the Center for Health Policy at SUFE. He earned a master's degree in medicine in 2005 and a PhD in 2008, both from Fudan University, China.

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Huijun Liu is an associate professor in the Public Policy and Administration School, Xi'an Jiaotong University, China. She received her PhD in management science and engineering from Management School of Xi'an Jiaotong University. Her main areas of research focuses on gender imbalance, reproductive health, vulnerability and social support. Her current research focuses on how gender imbalance and migration amplify the risk of HIV transmission in Chinese transformation society.

Liu has published over twenty papers in Chinese academic journals, which was featured in China Soft Science, Population & Economics, Psychological Science Advance, Collection of Women's Studies and Modern Preventive Medicine.

2010-2011 Visiting Scholar
Huijun Liu 2010-2011 Visiting Scholar Speaker Stanford University
Dahai Zhao Visiting Scholar at Center for Health Policy Speaker Stanford University
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Professor Li Liang Dong of the Central Party School's Politics and Law Department advises directly senior officials in the Chinese Communist Party.  Professor Li received his doctorate from the Central Party School in Law.  His main research areas are:  democratic perspective, Western political thought, and political theory. 

Some of his key works include: "Contemporary Chinese Studies of Public Opinion" (Central Party School Press, 1996), "Mao Zedong and Chinese farmers" (China Farmers Press, 1993), "Contemporary Chinese Democracy Studies" (Contemporary World Press, 2001 edition) and "Third Wave and the Chinese Democracy" (Central Party School Press, 2001 edition).  He has published over 300 articiles.  Professor Li has hosted discussions on topics including "Public Discussion in China",  "Societal Transitions", and "Study of Political Stability".

Co-sponsored by The Center for Deliberative Democracy at Stanford University

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Li Liang Dong Professor, Department of Politics and Law Speaker Central Party School, Beijing, China
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2011 Visiting Scholar
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Dr. Xiaowen Zhang is a visiting scholar from the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China. During his stay, he will conduct a comparative study on enterprises restructuring funds between China and the United States.

Dr. Zhang is currently the director of the Department of Enterprise, in the Institute of Economic System and Management at  NDRC, People's Republic of China. He is in charge of completing various studies involving national economic reforming for China. Dr. Zhang's main fields of interests include the reforming of national-owned enterprises, and relative policy studies in China. He latest research involves projects on the strategic adjusting and restructuring of China's economic industrial structure.

Dr. Zhang received a Ph.D in Management from Haerbin Industry University. He is a graduate of Education Management Science and Engineering from Beijing College of Machine Industry and Management. He holds a B.S. in Metal Material  from Jilin Industry University.

 

Recent Publications:

Dr. Zhang has published more than 80 papers on various major economic and management academic journals in China. Three recent academic works are as follows:

Xiaowen Zhang, Haichao Li, Jianmei Wang, System innovating and Competitiveness, Enterprise Management Publishing Company,March,2010, first Edition.

Qingrui Xu, Zhong Chen, Jin Chen,Xiaoqing Zhao, Xiaowen Zhang, the basic law and pattern of operation and management of china national -owned Enterprises, Publishing Company of Zhejiang University, May,2001, first Edition.

Shuren Liu, Jiuda Zhang, Xiaowen Zhang, The quantitative evaluating of vitality for china enterprises, Publishing Company of China International Broadcasting, 1995, first Edition.

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Scott Rozelle
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OMAHA (DTN) -- China is the world's No. 1 producer and consumer of pork and poultry, producing more than five times the pork raised in the U.S. and 80 percent as much poultry. With its economic growth and increasing middle class, it is inevitable that meat consumption will rise.

The question is: Will China be able to continue to boost production sufficiently to meet that demand? The answer has implications for U.S. grain and meat producers.

"Rapidly rising incomes will have wrenching effects on the demand for food," said Scott Rozelle, agricultural economist at Stanford University. "As increasingly well-off consumers get fewer of their calories from rice and wheat, they will demand more from high-value products such as meat, fish, dairy and fruit. Urbanization has similar impacts, dampening the demand for rice and wheat and raising the demand for meat, fish, dairy and fruit. Trying to meet these rising -- and shifting -- demands will pose a large challenge."

Most importantly, given the great constraints China faces in arable land and water, the government has chosen to focus its agriculture in two ways: staple food crops such as rice and oilseeds and value-added products, said Francis Tuan, with USDA's Foreign Agriculture Service. It is aiming for a high percentage of self-sufficiency in staples to ensure its population doesn't go hungry. On the other hand, it wants to garner as much economic growth from agricultural production as possible.

"China is exporting more labor-intensive fruits and vegetables and higher-value commodities, while it is importing more land-intensive agricultural commodities, such as soybeans, cotton, sugar and dairy," Rozelle added. "These shifts are obviously more in line with China's comparative advantage."

One example of that trend is China's purchases of raw soybeans to be crushed in China for oil. Another is some farmers leaving crop production to focus on livestock.

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This EWG talk will highlight PESD's first analysis using our new coal model by demonstrating how it can be used to analyze the effects of China's import behavior on world thermal coal consumption. We will explore China's capability as a consumer to exercise market power in the domestic Chinese markets, and to what extent this behavior affects the price, consumption, and production of steam coal globally. Two scenarios will be presented: 1) we assume Chinese consumers with import capability behave competitively and 2) we assume they exercise market power.

The use of coal as a fuel has increased tremendously over the past decade, with most of the growth coming from rapidly expanding economies like those in China and India. As coal continues to be the fuel of choice for electricity generation around the world, PESD is excited to be developing a model to further understand the global steam coal market.  In the future, we anticipate the model will help answer questions regarding climate and trade policies, market structure, and technology improvements.

Michael Joined PESD in July of 2010 as a research assistant after graduating from Stanford University with a BA in Economics.

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Michael joined PESD in July of 2010 after graduating from Stanford with a BA in Economics. He works with the Program Director, Frank A. Wolak, as a Quantitative Research Assistant. At Stanford he discovered his interest in Economics as a tool for encouraging more responsible use of energy and resources. He looks forward to working at PESD where he will continue to explore these interests.

His research interests include studying the effects of price-based climate policies, and to what extent they accelerate the production and adoption of low-carbon energy technologies.

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