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During the Republican primary debate held at the Ronald Reagan library in September, presidential candidates struggled to outdo each other in their admiration for and affinity with President Reagan. During the December 15 debate, however, everyone except Sen. Marco Rubio seemed to have rejected Ronald Reagan’s approach to foreign policy and national security. In particular, there was a serious debate about democracy promotion abroad and regime change. Most candidates came down against both. Read more...

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Michael A. McFaul
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Stanford Summer Juku on Japanese Political Economy (SSJ-JPE)

August 10-13, 2015

Oksenberg Conference Room

Stanford Japan Program at Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center

The Japan Program at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (S-APARC) at Stanford University started Stanford Summer Juku (SSJ) in 2013.  In SSJ, researchers on Japanese politics and Japanese economy get together and discuss their research in a relaxed setting. The third annual meeting is held at Stanford on August 10-13, 2015.  The first two days again focus on research in political science/political economy and international relations, and the latter two days focus on research in economics and business.

Takeo Hoshi, Kenji E. Kushida, Phillip Lipscy

 

Report - Stanford Summer Juku 2015

 

Program

8/10/2015

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"Positioning Under Alternative Electoral Systems: Evidence from 7,497 Japanese Candidate Election Manifestos", Amy Catalinac (Harvard University)

Discussants:
Gary Cox (Stanford University)
Harukata Takenaka (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies)
 

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"Identifying Multidimensional Policy Preferences of Voters in Representative Democracies: A Cojoint Field Experiment in Japan", Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth College), Daniel Smith (Harvard University), and Teppei Yamamoto (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Discussants:
Kay Shimizu (Columbia University)
Karen Jusko (Stanford University)
 

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Changes in Power of Japanese Prime Minister: Still Away from a Westminster Model", Harukata Takenaka (National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies)

Discussants:
Tsuneo Akaha (Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterery)
Kenji Kushida (Stanford University)
 

2:15- 3:30   Session IV:

"Territorial Issues and Support for the Prime Minister: A Survey Experiment on Rally-‘Round-the Flag Effect in Japan", Tetsuro Kobayashi (National Institute of Informatics, Japan), Azusa Katagiri (Stanford University)

Discussants:
Tsuneo Akaha (Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterery)
Daniel Smith (Harvard University)

 

8/11/2015

8:30-9:00   Breakfast

9:00-10:15 Session I:

"Institutions and central bank norm diffusion: The Bank of Japan's delayed break with the monetary orthodoxy", Gene Park (Loyola Marymount University), Saori Katada (University of Southern California), Giacomo Chiozza (Vanderbilt University)

Discussants:
Azusa Katagiri (Stanford University)
Ayako Saiki (De Netherlandsche Bank)
 

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"The Political Economy of the Trans-Pacific Parternship: Implications beyond Economics", Hiroki Takeuchi (Southern Methodist University)

Discussants:
Kay Shimizu (Columbia University)
Gene Park (Loyola Marymount University)
 

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Lead Markets, Vertical Specialization, and Standards Competition in Electric Vehicles", Llewelyn Hughes (George Washington University)

Discussants:
Kenji Kushida (Stanford University)
Phillip Lipscy (Stanford University)
 

2:15-3:30    Session IV:

"Renegotiating the World Order: Institutional Change in International Relations (select chapters from book manuscript)", Phillip Lipscy (Stanford University)

Discussants:
Amy Catalinac (Harvard University)
Llewelyn Hughes (George Washington University)
 

6:30        Group Dinner at Gravity Bistro and Wine Bar (544 Emerson St, Palo Alto, CA 94301)
 

 

8/12/2015

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"Medical spending and health care utilization in Japan, 2010-2040: Projections from a Future Elderly microsimulation", Hawre Jajal (Stanford University), Brian K. Chen (University of Southern California), Karen Eggleston (Stanford University), Hideki Hashimoto (University of Tokyo), Toshiaki Iizuka (University of Tokyo), Lena Shoemaker (Stanford University), and Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford University)

Discussants:
Yong Suk Lee (Stanford University)
TBD

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"The adverse effects of value-based purchasing in health care: dynamics quantile regression with endogeneity", Galina Besstremyannaya (Visiting Scholar, Stanford University)

Discussants:
Jay Battacharya (Stanford University)
Takeo Hoshi (Stanford University)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

How Do Agricultural Markets Respond to Radiation Risk? Evidence from the 2011 Disaster in Japan", Kayo Tajima (Rikkyo University), Masashi Yamamoto (University of Toyama), and Daisuke Ichinose (Rikkyo University)

Discussants:
Satoshi Koibuchi (Chuo University and Visiting Scholar, Stanford University)
Yong Suk Lee (Stanford University)

2:15-3:30    Session IV:

"Shocks and Shock Absorbers in Japanese Bonds and Banks During the Global Financial Crisis", Hyonok Kim (Tokyo Keizai University), Yukihiro Yasuda (Hitotsubashi University), and James A. Wilcox (University of California, Berkeley)

Discussants:
Sabrina Howell (New York University)
Suparna Chakraborty (University of San Francisco)

 

8/13/2015

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"Impact of Financial Intermediary's Information Production on Market Value of Firm: Case Studies on the DBJ's Liquidity Providing During the Financial Crisis and the Environmental Rating of Firm", Hiroaki Suzuoka (Development Bank of Japan), Atsushi Motohashi (Development Bank of Japan), Shinya Nakamura (Development Bank of Japan), Tomoya Maruoka (Development Bank of Japan), and Takamasa Uesugi (Development Bank of Japan)

Discussants:
Jess Diamond (Hitotsubashi University)
Masami Imai (Wesleyan University)

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"Selective Disclosure: The Case of Nikkei Preview Articles", William N. Goetzmann (Yale School of Management), Yasushi Hamao (University of Southern California), and Hidenori Takahashi (Kobe University)

Discussants:
Eiichiro Kazumori (University of Buffalo)
TBD

12:00-1:00  Lunch

 

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This conference aims to further our understanding of the institutional cultures, funding schemes and power structures underlying transnational institutions, with a particular focus on heritage bureaucracies. We bring together scholars working at the intersection of archaeology, anthropology, sociology and law to offer a broader understanding of the intricacies of multilateral institutions and global civic society in shaping contemporary heritage governance. Speakers will provide ethnographic perspectives on the study of international organizations, such as the UN and EU, in an effort to show the entanglement of political and technical decision-making.

A 2-day international conference organized by Claudia Liuzza and Gertjan Plets.

Speakers:

Brigitta Hauser-Shäublin (Institute of Ethnology, Göttingen University)
Ellen Hertz (Institute of Ethnology, University of Neuchâtel)
Miyako Inoue (Department of Anthropology, Stanford University)
Claudia Liuzza (Department of Anthropology, Stanford University)
Brigit Müller (Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris)
Elisabeth Niklason (Department of Archeaology, Stockholm University)
Gertjan Plets (Stanford Archaeology Center, Stanford University)
Cris Shore (Department of Anthropology, The University of Auckland)
Ana Vrdoljak (Department of Law, University of Technology, Sydney)

Co-sponsored by Stanford Archaeology Center, Cantor Arts Center, Department of Anthropology, Center for Russian, East European & Eurasian Studies, Stanford Humanities Center, The Europe Center, France-Stanford Center for Interdisciplinary Studies, The Mediterranean Studies Forum.

Contact: heritagebur@gmail.com

Heritage Bureaucracies Conference Flyer
Download pdf

Stanford Archaeology Center (BLDG 500)
488 Escondido Mall
Stanford Universit

Workshops
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Monica Martinez-Bravo is an associate professor at CEMFI in Madrid, Spain. She received her Ph.D. in economics from MIT in 2010. Her research interests are in the fields of Political Economy and Economic Development.

 

This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Encina Hall West, Room 400 (Graham Stuart Lounge)

Monica Martinez-Bravo Associate Professor Speaker CEMFI
Lectures
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States make war, and wars make states. The second clause of Tilly's dictum assumes that the fiscal effort that states exert to wage war persists over time. This paper investigates the effect of war on long-term fiscal capacity as a function of two types of war financing instruments: taxes and loans. Tax-waged wars are argued to exert lasting effects on state capacity, as new taxes require enhancements of the state apparatus as well as complementary fiscal innovations. Loan-waged wars may not contribute to long-term state capacity, as countries might default once the war is over, thus preempting any persistent fiscal effect. Importantly, the way war is waged might be endogenous. To cope with this possibility, I exploit unanticipated crashes in the nineteenth-century international capital markets, which temporarily banned warring states from borrowing regardless of their (un)observed characteristics. The analysis shows that countries that fought wars while the international credit markets were down have today higher fiscal capacity, measured by income tax ratios as well as the size of the tax administration. Altogether, the paper advances the conditions under which wars exert positive and lasting effects on state building.

 

Didac Queralt is a junior professor at the Institute of Political Economy and Governance (IPEG) in Barcelona. He received his Ph.D. from the NYU Politics Department in September 2012.

His research lies at the intersection of comparative political economy and international relations, with a focus on the political economy of fiscal capacity building in Europe (East and West) and the Americas. Using formal methods, he investigates tax compliance in scenarios of low fiscal capacity, as well as the replacement of old forms of taxation (e.g. trade taxes) by modern extractive technologies (e.g. income taxation) that result from deliberate investment in the tax administration. He analyzes the theoretical predictions using contemporary data from developing economies in Latin America and Eastern Europe, as well as historical data for European powers in the pre-modern era.

In addition, he investigates the origins of direct taxation in the Western World, both with macro- and micro-data, as well as the electoral politics underlying the expansion of the fiscal state. Currently, he is involved in a quasi-experimental test of the legacy of pre-modern wars on state capacity, and an field experiment on tax progressivity in Colombia,

 

This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Encina Hall West, Room 400 (Graham Stuart Lounge)

Didac Queralt Junior Professor Speaker Institute of Political Economy and Governance (IPEG), Barcelona
Seminars
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Beth Duff-Brown
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The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommends adults between the ages of 40 and 75 take a cholesterol-lowering statin drug to help prevent heart attacks and strokes if they are at risk of cardiovascular disease.

One in three Americans die of heart attacks or strokes. And those with no signs or symptoms, as well as no past history of cardiovascular disease, can still be at risk.

The independent panel of medical experts from around the nation said in a news release that statins could help those who have a risk factor for cardiovascular disease — such as high cholesterol or blood pressure, diabetes or those who smoke — and have at least a 7.5 percent risk of having a cardiovascular event in the next 10 years.

The task force also called for more research on the use of prescribing statins for children and adolescents who are at risk of heart disease.

The American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology have been recommending statins in adults for several years. The task force is now making a similar recommendation for primary prevention based on the latest clinical trials and research.

“The task force looked carefully at current data to identify who can benefit the most from taking statins,” said task force chair Albert L. Siu, MD, MSPH, who is also chair of the Ellen and Howard C. Katz Mount Sinai Health System.

“People with no signs, symptoms, or history of cardiovascular disease can still be at risk of heart attack or stroke,” said task force member Douglas K. Owens, MD, a Stanford professor of medicine and director of the Center for Health Policy and Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research at Stanford Health Policy.

“Fortunately, for certain people at increased risk, statins can be very effective at preventing these events,” said Owens, who emphasizes that adults who fall into those risk and age groups must first consult with their physicians.

The task force said all adults could reduce their risk of cardiovascular disease by not smoking, eating a healthy diet, engaging in physical activity and limiting alcohol use. Managing high blood pressure and high cholesterol and taking aspirin when indicated can also help prevent heart attacks and strokes.

Based on the current evidence, the task force said, it is not yet clear whether taking statins is beneficial for people who are older than 75. But they did find the effectiveness of statins is the same for both men and women.

This is the first time the task force has changed its fundamental approach since 2008, when it recommended screening for abnormal amount of lipids in the blood. While screening remains key, most adults are now routinely screened as part of an overall cardiovascular risk assessment.

Therefore, the task force found the more relevant clinical question is no longer whom to screen for elevated cholesterol, but rather whom to treat with preventive medication once increased cardiovascular risk has been identified in an individual.

The Preventive Services Task Force also announced that there is not enough data and evidence to assess the balance of benefits and harms in screening for high cholesterol in children and adolescents up to age 20.

While some experts have recommended lipid screening in children and teens, the task force found that the evidence shows it’s difficult to predict which children who have high cholesterol will continue to have it as they age.

“There is currently not enough research to determine whether screening all average-risk children and adolescents without symptoms leads to better cardiovascular health in adulthood.” said Task Force Vice Chair David C. Grossman, MD, MPH. “In addition, the potential harms of long-term use of cholesterol-lowering medication by children and adolescents are not yet understood.”

The public can review the findings and comment on the task force website.

Other articles on the recommendation include:

The Associated Press

MedPage Today

Reuters

HealthDay

 

 

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When I first started the Stanford e-Japan program, I never expected to be up on that podium making a speech [at Stanford University]… Yet there I stood, a little more grown up than before.
—Seiji Wakabayashi, Kumon Kokusai Junior-Senior High School

If I hadn’t participated in this program, I wouldn’t have been as interested in the U.S. as I am right now.
—Hikaru Suzuki, Senior High School at Otsuka, University of Tsukuba

I am very grateful to be given the chance to think about and to discuss with my fellow classmates what we should do in order to strengthen the U.S.–Japan relationship in the future.
—Haruki Kitagawa, Keio Senior High School

 

The Stanford Program on International and Cross-Cultural Education (SPICE) honored three of the top students of the inaugural 2015 Stanford e-Japan distance-learning course at an event at Stanford University on November 2, 2015. The three Stanford e-Japan Day honorees—Haruki Kitagawa (Keio Senior High School), Hikaru Suzuki (Senior High School at Otsuka, University of Tsukuba), and Seiji Wakabayashi (Kumon Kokusai Junior-Senior High School)—were recognized for their coursework and exceptional research essays that focused respectively on “A Comparison and Analysis of Educational Systems: What Is ‘Successful’ Education?,” “Why the Japanese Have a Good Image of America,” and “Schooling Japan.”

Stanford e-Japan Day featured welcoming comments by Dr. Gary Mukai, SPICE Director, and opening remarks on youth and the future of U.S.–Japan relations by Deputy Consul General Nobuhiro Watanabe, Consulate General of Japan in San Francisco. Deputy Consul General Watanabe reinforced that youth are the ones to shoulder the U.S.–Japan relationship in the coming years, and that he is very much looking forward to the day when these students will engage in furthering our two countries’ strong ties.

Waka Takahashi Brown, Stanford e-Japan Instructor, gave an overview of the course. Stanford e-Japan is a distance-learning course on U.S. society and culture and U.S.–Japan relations that is offered annually to 25–30 high school students across Japan. The course presents a creative and innovative approach to teaching high school students about U.S. society and culture and U.S–Japan relations, and provides Japanese students with unique opportunities to interact with diplomats and top scholars affiliated with Stanford University and other institutions through online lectures and discussions. Importantly, the course introduces both American and Japanese perspectives on many historical and contemporary issues.

Each student honoree gave a succinct and lucid summary of his/her research essay and skillfully answered questions from the audience. Following the question-and-answer period, each student was presented with a plaque by Brown. Following the presentations, the students and their families joined the audience in a luncheon.

Following the event, Stanford undergraduate Mathieu Rolfo took time from his studies to take the three honorees on a tour of the Stanford campus. Mathieu is a former student in SPICE’s Reischauer Scholars Program (RSP), a distance-learning course on Japan and U.S.–Japan relations that has been offered to high school students in the United States for 12 years. RSP Instructor Naomi Funahashi honored Rolfo as one of her top three RSP students in 2011. Funahashi and Brown are planning to continue to engage their students “virtually” across the Pacific.

Stanford e-Japan has been generously funded for the first three years (2015–17) by a grant from the United States-Japan Foundation. SPICE supporter Amanda Minami Chao was in attendance and had the chance to share her thoughts on Brown University with student honoree Seiji Wakabayashi who plans to apply to her alma mater.

During a recent trip to Japan, Mukai had the opportunity to meet with other excellent students who were enrolled in the inaugural course. Shoko Kitamura, Waseda Honjo Senior High School, noted that she especially enjoyed a lecture by Dr. Joseph Yasutake on Japanese-American internment during which Yasutake shared his first-hand accounts. Tairi Goto, International School of Asia in Karuizawa, stated that he especially appreciated a class activity during which he was introduced to textbook descriptions of the atomic bombing of Japan from Taiwan, Korea, Japan, China, and the United States. Misaki Katayama, Hiroshima Prefectural Hiroshima Junior/Senior High School, commented on her interest in learning about Japanese picture brides who left prefectures like Hiroshima to the United States in the early 20th century.

Reflecting back on the inaugural Stanford e-Japan course and e-Japan Day, Brown noted, “The inaugural group of e-Japan students was phenomenal. It was wonderful to be able to meet at least some of the students in person on e-Japan Day, although I felt like I had already met them through our interaction during the course. I have no doubt that future leaders, diplomats, and entrepreneurs will emerge from this cohort. ”

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2015 Stanford e-Japan Honorees: Seiji Wakabayashi, Hikaru Suzuki, and Haruki Kitagawa
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Abstract: 

Drawing upon personal interviews Abraham Lowenthal and Sergio Bitar of Chile conducted with 13 former presidents and prime ministers from 9 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America who played leading roles in managing successful and unreversed transitions from authoritarian rule toward democratic governance, Lowenthal will discuss recurrent challenges that democratic transitions pose, and what can be learned from prior experiences. He will introduce and provide background and highlights from Democratic Transitions:Conversations with World Leaders,recently published by Johns Hopkins University Press and International IDEA.The book will appear this semester in Arabic, Spanish, French, Dutch and Burmese.

 

 

Speaker Bio: 

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Abraham F. Lowenthal has combined two careers: as an analyst of Latin America, US-Latin American relations, and California’s global role, and as the founder and chief executive of three prestigious organizations—the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Latin American Program, the Inter-American Dialogue, and the Pacific Council on International Policy. Recently retired from his professorial chair at the University of Southern California, Dr. Lowenthal has authored, edited or coedited and contributed to fifteen volumes, including Global California: Rising to the Cosmopolitan Challenge (Stanford 2009) and others published by Harvard, Princeton, Johns Hopkins, and Brookings; more than a hundred journal articles, including seven in Foreign Affairs; and some 200 newspaper articles. He has been decorated by the presidents of Brazil and the Dominican Republic, and received an honorary degree from the University of Notre Dame. His book, Partners in Conflict: The United States and Latin America, was awarded USC’s prize for the best faculty book, and he has been honored by the Los Angeles Chamber of Commerce for his contribution to California’s international trade. Dr. Lowenthal is a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution,an adjunct professor[research] at Brown, and a visiting fellow at Harvard.

Abraham Lowenthal Professor Emeritus of International Relations, University of Southern California
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Beth Duff-Brown
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Most prescriptions for opioid painkillers are made by the broad swath of U.S. general practitioners, not by a limited group of specialists, according to a study by researchers at the Stanford University School of Medicine.

This finding contrasts with previous studies by others that indicated the U.S. opioid epidemic is stoked by a small population of prolific prescribers operating out of corrupt “pill mills.”

The study, which examined Medicare prescription drug claims data for 2013, appears in a research letter published today in JAMA Internal Medicine.

“The bulk of opioid prescriptions are distributed by the large population of general practitioners,” said lead author Jonathan Chen, a Stanford Health Policy VA Medical Informatics Fellow.

The researchers found that the top 10 percent of opioid prescribers account for 57 percent of opioid prescriptions. This prescribing pattern is comparable to that found in the Medicare data for prescribers of all drugs: The top 10 percent of all drug prescribers account for 63 percent of all drug prescriptions.

“These findings indicate law enforcement efforts to shut down pill-mill prescribers are insufficient to address the widespread overprescribing of opioids,” Chen said. “Efforts to curtail national opioid overprescribing must address a broad swath of prescribers to be effective.”

Read More at Stanford News Center

More coverage here:

STAT News Service

Kaiser Health News

 

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