Stanford University

Beyond Green and Blue? Reassessing and Forecasting the Dynamics of Taiwan's Politics

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This is a CDDRL's Special Seminar within our Democracy in Taiwan Program. In this seminar, Dr. Da-chi Liao will reassess Taiwan's political polarization and make her prediction regarding Taiwan's upcoming legislative and presidential elections.

Dr. Liao is Professor of Graduate Institute of Political Science at National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan. She is currently a Fulbright Scholar at The Hoover Institution, Stanford University.

Professor Liao is former President of Taiwanese Political Science Association. She received her Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Michigan in 1990. Since then, she has been involving in an international project entitled "Democracy & Local Governance," which has been conducted in more than twenty-six countries at least once throughout the last fifteen years. Dr. Liao has been the project leader of Taiwan since 1993. Her other research interests include issues related to democratization, constitutional development, and legislative institutions. Recently, she is utilizing a new research tool, data-mining, developed by information technologists, to uncover politics beneath the surface.

Dr. Liao has published about 40 refereed articles in journals such as Issues & Studies, Journal of Contemporary China, Chinese Political Science Review, Taiwanese Political Science Review, Sun Yat-sen Journal of Social Sciences, Taiwan Journal of Democracy.

Philippines Conference Room

Da-Chi Liao Visiting Scholar Speaker The Hoover Institution
Seminars

Natural Gas and Energy Futures of India and China

The Stanford Program on Energy and Sustainable Development (PESD) is concluding a major study aimed at understanding the future role for natural gas in the rapidly growing economies of China and India. On June 4-5, 2007 PESD will convene a meeting at Stanford to present the results of the study and engage with participants from industry and academia on the implications of this work for global energy markets.

PESD has partnered with leading regional research centers in both China and India to construct detailed assessments of the key drivers for future gas demand in both countries. At the June meeting PESD and its research collaborators will share results from the natural gas study and explore the study's broader implications on China and India's role in the future world energy market. Meeting participants will include representatives from government, industry, academia, and non-government organizations from the United States, China, India, Europe, and others.

Panels at the meeting with focus primarily on the implications of the study on larger questions of energy and global geopolitics, including:

§ Competitiveness of natural gas vis a vis coal in the power sector

§ Geopolitical implications of major supply projects

§ Regulatory reform and pricing

§ Implications for CO2 and climate change

Bechtel Conference Center

Conferences

Trade Liberalization, Rising Imports and China's Food Economy: The Case of Soybeans

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In our report, our overall goal is to understand how soybean trade policy changes and changes in soybean trade flows that China has experienced between 1997 and 2003 have affected China's producers, consumers and users of soybeans. To do so, we will:

1. briefly analyze the nature of China's soybean markets; and understand the nature of the links between soybean trade, domestic market development, price, production, and consumption;

2. analyze the responses of households that are affected by soybean trade-related changes;

3. predict the magnitude and direction of responses to trade liberlalization-induced price shifts and suggest if policies are needed to offset adverse effects

In order to meet these objectives, we will describe in great detail using a number of data sets: the nature of soybean markets in China; the linkages between soybean producers, consumers and poverty; use our CAPSIM model to understand the impacts of trade changes on soybean producers, livestock producers and consumers; and finally discuss policy options.

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Publication Type
Policy Briefs
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Scott Rozelle

Cost of Cotton Production in People's Republic of China, Poster for California Cotton Council

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The objective of this research project was to (1) collect and analyze enterprise budget data for the production of cotton in major production regions in the People's Republic of China; (2) Compare and contrast the cost of production of Bt and conventional cotton in the these regions; and (3) Compare and contrast the information for China with representative budgets for U.S. cotton production to assess current relative competitiveness between the two and potential implications for Chinese cotton import demand. The survey was conducted on 1027 plots of 450 farmers in 5 provinces, Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Anhui and
Hubei in 2005. The results indicate the cost of production of cotton in China on average is significantly less on a per acre basis than in the U.S. Differences are sensitive to assumptions regarding labor costs in China. In addition with high yields per acre some U.S. cotton producing regions remain competitive despite labor cost disadvantages. Recent reports indicate that despite cost of production advantages the desire on the part of the Chinese government to maintain grain production may discourage increased cotton production in certain regions decreasing potential negative effects on future cotton import demand. The survey effort was extended in 2006 to include 480 plots of 120 farmers in the largest single cotton producing province, Xinjiang.

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Policy Briefs
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Scott Rozelle

David Victor presents in Delhi on India's natural gas prospects

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News
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Professor David G. Victor presented on the future of natural gas in India at the Observer Research Foundation in Delhi. His presentation showed how global gas prices, demand from China, domestic coal prices, and industrial demand in India will shape future use of natural gas in the country's fuel mix. Favorable regulation will be needed to keep natural gas competitive in India.
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