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Recent Scholarly Publications

Records 24 / 196

Estimating global agricultural effects of geoengineering using volcanic eruptions

August 2018

Solar radiation management is increasingly considered to be an option for managing global temperatures1,2, yet the economic effects of ameliorating climatic changes by scattering sunlight back to...

Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets

May 2018

International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly...

Unprecedented rates of land-use transformation in modelled climate change mitigation pathways

May 2018

Integrated assessment models generate climate change mitigation scenarios consistent with global temperature targets.

Differences, or lack thereof, in wheat and maize yields under three low-warming scenarios

March 2018

The availability of climate model experiments under three alternative scenarios stabilizing at warming targets inspired by the COP21 agreements (a 1.5 ºC not exceed, a 1.5 ºC with overshoot and a 2...

Increasing drought and diminishing benefits of elevated carbon dioxide for soybean yields across the US Midwest

November 2017

Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations ([CO2]) are expected to increase C3 crop yield through the CO2 fertilization effect (CFE) by stimulating photosynthesis and by reducing stomatal conductance...

Comparing estimates of climate change impacts from process-based and statistical crop models

January 2017

The potential impacts of climate change on crop productivity are of widespread interest to those concerned with addressing climate change and improving global food security.

Interests, Norms, and Mass Support for International Climate Policy.

December 2016

Mitigating climate change requires countries to provide a global public good.

Opportunities for advances in climate change economics

April 2016

There have been dramatic advances in understanding the physical science of climate change, facilitated by substantial and reliable research support.

Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: Current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions

February 2016

In this paper we discuss the scope of the adaptation challenge facing world agriculture in the coming decades.

Growing sensitivity of maize to water scarcity under climate change

January 2016

Climate change can reduce crop yields and thereby threaten food security.

Pharaoh's Dream Revisited: An Integrated US Midwest Field Research Network for Climate Adaptation

January 2016

We're being warned of future grain failures—not by the dreams of a biblical Pharaoh, but by modern computer model predictions.

Pharaoh's Dream Revisited: An Integrated US Midwest Field Research Network for Climate Adaptation

December 2015

We're being warned of future grain failures—not by the dreams of a biblical Pharaoh, but by modern computer model predictions.

Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production

November 2015

Growing evidence demonstrates that climatic conditions can have a profound impact on the functioning of modern human societies, but effects on economic activity appear inconsistent.

Improving the monitoring of crop productivity using spaceborne solar-induced fluorescence

November 2015

Large-scale monitoring of crop growth and yield has important value for forecasting food production and prices and ensuring regional food security.

Estimated impacts of emission reductions on wheat and maize crops

October 2015

We assess the benefits of climate change mitigation for global maize and wheat production over the 21st century by comparing outcomes under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 as simulated by two large initial...

What aspects of future rainfall changes matter for crop yields in West Africa?

September 2015

Abstract: How rainfall arrives, in terms of its frequency, intensity and the timing and duration of rainy season, may have a large influence on rainfed agriculture.

Climate and Conflict

August 2015

We review the emerging literature on climate and conflict.

A scalable satellite-based crop yield mapper

July 2015

A new approach to mapping crop yields is presented.Estimates are made within Google's Earth Engine, allowing broad scale application.Field-level estimates are tested against over 29,000 ground...

Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts

May 2015

Quantitative estimates of the impacts of climate change on economic outcomes are important for public policy.

A global perspective on food systems

March 2015

The effects of extremely wet planting conditions on maize and soybean yields

February 2015

Short durations of very high spring soil moisture can influence crop yields in many ways, including delaying planting and damaging young crops.

Impacts of precipitation and temperature on crop yields in the Pampas

February 2015

The fingerprint of climate trends on European crop yields

February 2015

The Evolving Sphere of Food Security

September 2014

The Evolving Sphere of Food Security seeks to answer two important questions: How do the priorities and challenges of achieving food security change over time as countries develop economically?


David Lobell Senior Fellow Professor, Earth System Science, William Wrigley Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment
Timothy E. Josling Senior Fellow, by courtesy Professor, Food Research Institute, Emeritus
Donald Kennedy Professor, Biology, Emeritus
Mark C. Thurber Associate Director for Research
Sam Heft-Neal Research scholar, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford Department of Earth System Science Research scholar, Center on Food Security and the Environment
Christopher Seifert PhD student, Earth System Science
Charles Perrow Visiting Scholar (in residence December-April)
Jennifer Burney Visiting Fellow
David S. Battisti Visiting Professor
Wolfram Schlenker Visiting Scholar