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Is Deliberation an Antidote to Extreme Partisan Polarization? Reflections on “America in One Room”

Historical warming has increased U.S. crop insurance losses

Quantification of the sector-specific financial impacts of historical global warming represents a critical gap in climate change impacts assessment. The multiple decades of county-level data...

Contribution of historical precipitation change to US flood damages

January 2021

Precipitation extremes have increased in many regions of the United States, suggesting that climate change may be exacerbating the cost of flooding.

Curtailing Land-Clearing Fires in Indonesia

December 2020

Changes in the drought sensitivity of US maize yields

November 2020

As climate change leads to increased frequency and severity of drought in many agricultural regions, a prominent adaptation goal is to reduce the drought sensitivity of crop yields.

The Changing Risk and Burden of Wildfire in the US

June 2020

Recent dramatic and deadly increases in global wildfire activity have increased attention on the causes of wildfires, their consequences, and how risk from fire might be mitigated.

Market Design in a Zero Marginal Cost Intermittent Renewable Future

June 2020

The basic features of an efficient short-term wholesale market design do not need to change to accommodate a significantly larger share of zero marginal cost intermittent renewable energy from wind...

Impacts of Chilean forest subsidies on forest cover, carbon and biodiversity

June 2020

In response to the important benefits forests provide, there is a growing effort to reforest the world.

An Experimental Comparison of Carbon Pricing Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets

May 2020

We report on an economic experiment that compares outcomes in electricity markets subject to carbon-tax and cap-and-trade policies.

Retail Pricing in Colombia to Support the Efficient Deployment of Distributed Generation and Electric Vehicles

April 2020

Electricity tariff reforms will be an essential part of the clean energy transition. Existing tariffs rely on average cost pricing and often set a price per unit that exceeds marginal cost.

Climate change is increasing the risk of extreme autumn wildfire conditions across California

March 2020

California has experienced devastating autumn wildfires in recent years.

Verification of extreme event attribution: Using out-of-sample observations to assess changes in probabilities of unprecedented events

March 2020

Independent verification of anthropogenic influence on specific extreme climate events remains elusive. This study presents a framework for such verification.

Does Information About Climate Risk Affect Property Values?

February 2020

Floods and other climate hazards pose a widespread and growing threat to housing and infrastructure around the world.

On the role of anthropogenic climate change in the emerging food crisis in southern Africa in the 2019–2020 growing season

February 2020

Researchers including David Lobell analyze how human-caused climate change has impacted a water deficit in Southern Africa and might contribute to a rising food security crisis in the region.

What Determines Climate Policy Preferences if Reducing Greenhouse-Gas Emissions Is a Global Public Good?

February 2020

Many international policy problems, including climate change, have been characterized as global public goods.

Flood Size Increases Nonlinearly Across the Western United States in Response to Lower Snow‐Precipitation Ratios

December 2019

Many mountainous and high‐latitude regions have experienced more precipitation as rain rather than snow due to warmer winter temperatures.

Locational Marginal Network Tariffs for Intermittent Renewable Generation

November 2019

The variability of solar and wind generation increases transmission network operating costs associated with maintaining system stability.

"New Missions, New Challenges, 2005-2008" (chapter in the book Truth to Power)

July 2019

Truth to Power, the first-ever history of the U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC), is told through the reflections of its eight Chairs in the period from the end of the Cold War until 2017.

Measuring the Impact of Own and Others' Experience on Project Costs in the U.S. Wind Generation Industry

July 2019

We investigate the relationship between accumulated experience completing wind power projects and the cost of installing wind projects in the U.S. from 2001-2015.

Climatic Constraints on Aggregate Economic Output

May 2019

Efficient responses to climate change require accurate estimates of both aggregate damages and where and to whom they occur.

Global warming has increased global economic inequality

April 2019

Understanding the causes of economic inequality is critical for achieving equitable economic development.

Model vs. experiment to predict crop losses—Response

December 2018

Our Report draws attention to a complex but understudied issue: How will climate warming alter losses of major food crops to insect pests?

Increase in crop losses to insect pests in a warming climate

August 2018

Crop responses to climate warming suggest that yields will decrease as growing-season temperatures increase.

Estimating global agricultural effects of geoengineering using volcanic eruptions

August 2018

Solar radiation management is increasingly considered to be an option for managing global temperatures1,2, yet the economic effects of ameliorating climatic changes by scattering sunlight back to...

People

Rosamond L. Naylor Senior Fellow William Wrigley Professor of Earth System Science, Senior Fellow, Stanford Woods Institute and Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Senior Fellow and Founding Director, Center on Food Security and the Environment