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Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

Chronic long-term risk of low-level radiation exposure: Bridging the lay/expert divide.

August 2018

Abstrac: The failure of experts and lay people to understand each other has been fueling conflict around the environmental clean-up of the many sites in the United States that are contaminated by...

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Other Publications

The Peace Train Leaves The Station

March 2018

In a flurry of developments that left experts stunned, the long-stalled Korean peace train has suddenly left the station.

Is the War Danger in Korea Real?

August 2017

President Donald Trump's ominous threat to unleash “fire and fury” on North Korea succeeded at least in garnering the attention of not only Kim Jong Un but the globe.

The North Korean Missile Test Pushes Xi and Putin Closer

July 2017

The most dangerous impact of North Korea’s long-range missile test this past week may not have been the one in the Sea of Japan, felt in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo.

News

Extending New START is a no-brainer—And yet, we can’t count on it

February 2019

The Trump administration has finished off the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, a treaty mortally wounded by Russia’s deployment of a banned intermediate-range missile.

The Second Trump-Kim Summit Must Settle the Big Questions

February 2019

“There is no detailed definition or shared agreement of what denuclearization entails....” These words were not from critics of ambivalence in the Trump administration’s nuclear negotiations with...

North Korea in 2018: A Q&A with Siegfried Hecker

February 2019

In May 2018, Stanford Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) scholars Siegfried Hecker, Robert Carlin, and Elliot Serbin released an in-depth report analyzing the nuclear history...

Events

Discussion on the DPRK with Special Representative for North Korea Stephen Biegun

January 28, 2019

 UPDATE: This event will be live streamed on our Facebook page.

The Stopping Power of Norms

December 14, 2018

Abstract: Sagan and Valentino's path-breaking survey of public opinion American attitudes towards the laws of war found Americans are relatively insensitive to international norms and taboos...

The 2018 Nuclear Posture Review

December 14, 2018

This seminar will provide analysis and implications of the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review from the perspectives of three people who spent a significant portion of their careers working on the nuclear...

Projects

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Nuclear Risk Reduction

The Nuclear Risk Reduction initiative engages technical and policy experts to reduce nuclear risks by promoting collaboration between the United States and Russia, China and Pakistan.
English

Multimedia

The North Korea Crisis

June 2017

Video and transcript from the joint CISAC/Shorenstein APARC panel discussion, "The North Korea Crisis," on May 30, 2017, with James Person, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation at the Center for Korean History and Public Policy; Gi-Wook...

North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates

March 2017

Video and transcript from Shorenstein APARC's Korea Program seminar on March 3, 2017, titled "North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates," with Chung-in Moon, the Krause Distinguished Fellow at U.C.

Doomed to Cooperate: Averting Post-Cold War Nuclear Dangers

October 2016

At the end of the Cold War, American and Russian scientists came together—overcoming political, cultural, and geographic divides—to work toward a common goal of reducing nuclear threat. In this video, Siegfried S.

People

Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Portrait of Phillip Lipscy Phillip Lipscy Center Fellow Assistant Professor, Political Science
Chantell Murphy Postdoctoral Fellow
Eva C. Uribe Affiliate
Daniel Metlay Daniel Metlay Affiliate
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Neil Narang Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker
Kevin Chen Research Assistant