Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

Unfit for purpose: reassessing the development and deployment of French nuclear weapons (1956–1974)

This article presents the first reassessment of the strategic rationality and credibility of French nuclear weapons policy before 1974.

European nuclear weapons? Zombie debates and nuclear realities

In February 2020, French president Emmanuel Macron invited all interested European states to a “strategic dialogue” on the supposed contribution of France’s nuclear arsenal to European collective...

Particulate Plutonium Released from the Fukushima Daiichi Meltdowns

July 2020

A new study reveals particles that were released from nuclear plants damaged in the devastating 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami contained small amounts of radioactive plutonium. View full article

Other Publications

The Peace Train Leaves The Station

March 2018

In a flurry of developments that left experts stunned, the long-stalled Korean peace train has suddenly left the station.

Is the War Danger in Korea Real?

August 2017

President Donald Trump's ominous threat to unleash “fire and fury” on North Korea succeeded at least in garnering the attention of not only Kim Jong Un but the globe.

The North Korean Missile Test Pushes Xi and Putin Closer

July 2017

The most dangerous impact of North Korea’s long-range missile test this past week may not have been the one in the Sea of Japan, felt in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo.

News

The Standstill Conundrum: The Advent of Second-Strike Vulnerability and Options to Address It

October 2021

Emerging and disruptive technologies spell an uncertain future for second-strike retaliatory forces. New sensors and big data analysis may render mobile missiles and submarines vulnerable to...

The North Korean Nuclear Question Revisited: Facts, Myths and Uncertainties

September 2021

Facts are difficult to come by, myths are deeply ingrained, and uncertainties lurk everywhere — that, in short, is the nature of North Korea’s nuclear program.

Strengthen U.S. Security Through Nuclear Arms Reductions

September 2021

Biden has an opportunity to bolster deterrence, reduce proliferation risks, and lower the risk of nuclear war.

Events

Uncertainty, Risk, and Responsibility: Lessons from Three Technologies

February 18, 2020

Seminar Recording: https://youtu.be/wKXawdBrCEs About this Event: Are we still in the Nuclear Age? Is this the Age of AI? Are we entering the Age of Synthetic Biology?

The Strike on Qassem Soleimani: Implications for Iran, the Middle East and the World

January 6, 2020

Panel discussion with Stanford international affairs experts on escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Register: Click here to RSVP Livestream: Please click here to join the livestream. About this Event: U...

Security in a Post-Nuclear Age

October 28, 2019

Livestream: This event will not be live-streamed or recorded. Abstract: Seventy-five years after the introduction of nuclear weapons, it is no longer clear that these tools of security remain the...

Projects

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Nuclear Risk Reduction

The Nuclear Risk Reduction initiative engages technical and policy experts to reduce nuclear risks by promoting collaboration between the United States and Russia, China and Pakistan.
English

Multimedia

The North Korea Crisis

June 2017

Video and transcript from the joint CISAC/Shorenstein APARC panel discussion, "The North Korea Crisis," on May 30, 2017, with James Person, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation at the Center for Korean History and Public Policy; Gi-Wook...

North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates

March 2017

Video and transcript from Shorenstein APARC's Korea Program seminar on March 3, 2017, titled "North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates," with Chung-in Moon, the Krause Distinguished Fellow at U.C.

Doomed to Cooperate: Averting Post-Cold War Nuclear Dangers

October 2016

At the end of the Cold War, American and Russian scientists came together—overcoming political, cultural, and geographic divides—to work toward a common goal of reducing nuclear threat. In this video, Siegfried S.

People

Sagan, Scott 2012 photo Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
man smiling Dan Zhukov Research Assistant to Rose Gottemoeller