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Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: From Pariah and Piñata to Managing Partner

June 2017

This is a chapter in the second edition of The National Security Enterprise, a book edited by Roger Z.

A MOOC With Meaning

May 2017

Under the sponsorship of Stanford University, we designed a massive open online course (MOOC) to raise public consciousness about the past, present, and future dangers of nuclear weapons.

Other Publications

The Peace Train Leaves The Station

March 2018

In a flurry of developments that left experts stunned, the long-stalled Korean peace train has suddenly left the station.

Is the War Danger in Korea Real?

August 2017

President Donald Trump's ominous threat to unleash “fire and fury” on North Korea succeeded at least in garnering the attention of not only Kim Jong Un but the globe.

The North Korean Missile Test Pushes Xi and Putin Closer

July 2017

The most dangerous impact of North Korea’s long-range missile test this past week may not have been the one in the Sea of Japan, felt in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo.

News

Gi-Wook Shin on Korea

August 2018

Gi-Wook Shin, director of the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, regularly writes on Korean affairs for Korean audience.

Looking Past CVID with North Korea

July 2018

While the Trump administration may still believe in CVID, Gi-Wook Shin and Joyce Lee argue that–at present–it is no longer a realistic goal.In an article for for 38 North, Shin and Lee explain why...

Siegfried Hecker's 'Solution' to North Korean Denuclearization - Interview with SisaIN (Korea)

July 2018

SisaIN: You suggested that the best way for denuclearization is to convert N.

Events

A Comprehensive History of North Korea's Nuclear Program and Lessons Learned

March 26, 2018

NOTE: Seminar room changed to Oksenberg Conference RoomEncina Hall, 3rd floor  This is an APARC-CISAC joint event.With all eyes on the upcoming Inter-Korean Summit and the planned Kim-Trump Summit,...

A Conversation with Daniel Ellsberg on ‘The Doomsday Machine’

March 19, 2018

- RSVP here - Abstract: Must we, should we, possess a Doomsday Machine?  For over half a century there have been two of these in the world: the U.S.

Rethinking the Kargil conflict: What did Pakistan learn from a nuclear crisis?

March 8, 2018

Abstract: In November 1998, ‘mujahideen’ warriors climbed the heights above Kargil in Indian held Kashmir, crossed the Line of Control, and occupied Indian military posts.

Projects

Lab-to-Lab Cooperation

Senior Fellow Siegfried Hecker was the director of the Los Alamos National Laboratory when the Soviet Union broke apart in 1991.
English

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Multimedia

The North Korea Crisis

June 2017

Video and transcript from the joint CISAC/Shorenstein APARC panel discussion, "The North Korea Crisis," on May 30, 2017, with James Person, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation at the Center for Korean History and Public Policy; Gi-Wook...

North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates

March 2017

Video and transcript from Shorenstein APARC's Korea Program seminar on March 3, 2017, titled "North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates," with Chung-in Moon, the Krause Distinguished Fellow at U.C.

Doomed to Cooperate: Averting Post-Cold War Nuclear Dangers

October 2016

At the end of the Cold War, American and Russian scientists came together—overcoming political, cultural, and geographic divides—to work toward a common goal of reducing nuclear threat. In this video, Siegfried S.

People

David Holloway, CISAC David Holloway Senior Fellow Professor, History, Professor, Political Science
Phillip Lipscy Center Fellow Assistant Professor, Political Science
Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Neil Narang Affiliate
Eva Uribe Eva C. Uribe Affiliate
Daniel Metlay Daniel Metlay Affiliate
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker