GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Policy Briefs

Fifth Korea-U.S. West Coast Strategic Forum

Shorenstein APARC, 2011

Books

The U.S. Nuclear Arsenal and Zero: Sizing and Planning for Use - Past, Present and Future

Stanford University Press in "Getting to Zero: The Path to Nuclear Disarmament", 2011

Journal Articles

Cultural Origins of the Financial Crisis 2007-2010: The Future of the Democratic Financial Cultures of the 21st Century Builds Upon a More Sustainable Complementarity between the USA and Europe

Institut für Finanzdienstleistungen Hamburg, 2011

Journal Articles

Recent Publications

Fifth Korea-U.S. West Coast Strategic Forum

The U.S. Nuclear Arsenal and Zero: Sizing and Planning for Use - Past, Present and Future

Cultural Origins of the Financial Crisis 2007-2010: The Future of the Democratic Financial Cultures of the 21st Century Builds Upon a More Sustainable Complementarity between the USA and Europe

Age and the purchase of prescription drug insurance by older adults

Age differences in striatal delay sensitivity during intertemporal choice in healthy adults

Jean-Francois Lyotard

Design elements in implementation research: A structured review of child welfare and child mental health studies

The Enlightenment

Cost-effectiveness of an intensive telephone-based intervention for smoking cessation

FSI Annual Report 2011

Book Chapter: Steps toward a World Free of Nuclear Weapons

Industrial Organization of the Chinese Coal Industry

A Question of Genocide

Efficient stockpiling and shipping policies for humanitarian relief: UNHCR's inventory challenge

Translating scientific advances to improved outcomes for children with sickle cell disease: a timely opportunity

Revolution or Evolution? Putting the Flexner Report in Context

Alarmingly High Anemia Prevalence in Western China

Weighing costs, benefits of imaging: Author response

Determinants of the cost of health services used by veterans with HIV

Doing Good with Good OR: Supporting Cost-effective Hepatitis B Interventions

Teaching physicians to assess suicidal youth presenting to the emergency department

Advancing the science of patient safety

Improving early literacy promotion: A quality-improvement project for reach out and read

Demographic consequences of gender discrimination in China: simulation analysis of policy options

Nuclear Power post-Fukushima? (Presentation)