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Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: From Pariah and Piñata to Managing Partner

June 2017

This is a chapter in the second edition of The National Security Enterprise, a book edited by Roger Z.

A MOOC With Meaning

May 2017

Under the sponsorship of Stanford University, we designed a massive open online course (MOOC) to raise public consciousness about the past, present, and future dangers of nuclear weapons.

Other Publications

The Peace Train Leaves The Station

March 2018

In a flurry of developments that left experts stunned, the long-stalled Korean peace train has suddenly left the station.

Is the War Danger in Korea Real?

August 2017

President Donald Trump's ominous threat to unleash “fire and fury” on North Korea succeeded at least in garnering the attention of not only Kim Jong Un but the globe.

The North Korean Missile Test Pushes Xi and Putin Closer

July 2017

The most dangerous impact of North Korea’s long-range missile test this past week may not have been the one in the Sea of Japan, felt in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo.

News

Stanford scholars discuss diplomacy’s future after U.S.-North Korea summit is canceled

May 2018

 What led to the U.S. canceling the planned summit with North Korea? Could a meeting realistically be rescheduled?

Stanford scholars weigh in on withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal

May 2018

Following the announcement of the U.S.

How did the Fukushima disaster affect air pollution?

February 2018

Q&A with Rodney C. Ewing, co-director of the Center for International Security and Cooperation and a senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies.

Events

A Comprehensive History of North Korea's Nuclear Program and Lessons Learned

March 26, 2018

NOTE: Seminar room changed to Oksenberg Conference RoomEncina Hall, 3rd floor  This is an APARC-CISAC joint event.With all eyes on the upcoming Inter-Korean Summit and the planned Kim-Trump Summit,...

A Conversation with Daniel Ellsberg on ‘The Doomsday Machine’

March 19, 2018

- RSVP here - Abstract: Must we, should we, possess a Doomsday Machine?  For over half a century there have been two of these in the world: the U.S.

Rethinking the Kargil conflict: What did Pakistan learn from a nuclear crisis?

March 8, 2018

Abstract: In November 1998, ‘mujahideen’ warriors climbed the heights above Kargil in Indian held Kashmir, crossed the Line of Control, and occupied Indian military posts.

Projects

Lab-to-Lab Cooperation

Senior Fellow Siegfried Hecker was the director of the Los Alamos National Laboratory when the Soviet Union broke apart in 1991.
English

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Multimedia

The North Korea Crisis

June 2017

Video and transcript from the joint CISAC/Shorenstein APARC panel discussion, "The North Korea Crisis," on May 30, 2017, with James Person, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation at the Center for Korean History and Public Policy; Gi-Wook...

North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates

March 2017

Video and transcript from Shorenstein APARC's Korea Program seminar on March 3, 2017, titled "North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates," with Chung-in Moon, the Krause Distinguished Fellow at U.C.

Doomed to Cooperate: Averting Post-Cold War Nuclear Dangers

October 2016

At the end of the Cold War, American and Russian scientists came together—overcoming political, cultural, and geographic divides—to work toward a common goal of reducing nuclear threat. In this video, Siegfried S.

People

David Holloway, CISAC David Holloway Senior Fellow Professor, History, Professor, Political Science
Phillip Lipscy Center Fellow Assistant Professor, Political Science
Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Neil Narang Affiliate
Eva Uribe Eva C. Uribe Affiliate
Daniel Metlay Daniel Metlay Affiliate
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker