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Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: From Pariah and Piñata to Managing Partner

June 2017

This is a chapter in the second edition of The National Security Enterprise, a book edited by Roger Z.

A MOOC With Meaning

May 2017

Under the sponsorship of Stanford University, we designed a massive open online course (MOOC) to raise public consciousness about the past, present, and future dangers of nuclear weapons.

Other Publications

Is the War Danger in Korea Real?

August 2017

President Donald Trump's ominous threat to unleash “fire and fury” on North Korea succeeded at least in garnering the attention of not only Kim Jong Un but the globe.

The North Korean Missile Test Pushes Xi and Putin Closer

July 2017

The most dangerous impact of North Korea’s long-range missile test this past week may not have been the one in the Sea of Japan, felt in Washington, Seoul and Tokyo.

Analyzing the Structure and Performance of Kim Jong-un's Regime

June 2017

As Kim Jong-un begins his sixth year as leader of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), it is appropriate to shift the focus from his moves to consolidate power to the impact that the...

News

Stanford Experts Examine Options for U.S. in Dealing with North Korea

September 2017

In his Tuesday address at the United Nations General Assembly, President Donald Trump threatened to “totally destroy North Korea” if the U.S. is forced to defend itself or its allies.

War of Words Threatens Greater Escalation on Korean Peninsula

September 2017

As the war of words escalates between Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un amid a series of North Korean missile launches and a September 3 nuclear test, Gi-Wook Shin, director of the...

New North Korea sanctions a plausible step yet unlikely to break long-standing deadlock

July 2017

North Korea launched its first intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on July 3, a first for the country that has increasingly advanced proliferation and testing over the last three years...

Events

Nuclear accidents, causes and consequences

July 21, 2017

Abstract: The safety of a nuclear and any complex system is enhanced by analyzing failures and incorporating the lessons learned into ongoing and future activities.The triad of hardware, software,...

A Worst Practices Guide to Preventing Insider Threats

April 7, 2017

Video of Worst Practices Guide 5 16 17 Abstract: High-security organizations around the world face devastating threats from insiders—trusted employees with access to sensitive information,...

Conventional Conflicts with Nuclear-Armed Powers: Prospects for Escalation Control

March 22, 2017

Abstract: Under what conditions could the United States control escalation in a conventional conflict with a nuclear-armed adversary? The possibility that a dispute between the U.S.

Projects

Reset Nuclear Waste Policy

The “Reset” initiative engages technical experts, government officials and members of the public in a series of focused discussions on the U.S. Waste Management Strategy and Policy.
English

Lab-to-Lab Cooperation

Senior Fellow Siegfried Hecker was the director of the Los Alamos National Laboratory when the Soviet Union broke apart in 1991.
English

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Multimedia

The North Korea Crisis

June 2017

Video and transcript from the joint CISAC/Shorenstein APARC panel discussion, "The North Korea Crisis," on May 30, 2017, with James Person, director of the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation at the Center for Korean History and Public Policy; Gi-Wook...

North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates

March 2017

Video and transcript from Shorenstein APARC's Korea Program seminar on March 3, 2017, titled "North Korean Nuke, THAAD, and South Korean Debates," with Chung-in Moon, the Krause Distinguished Fellow at U.C.

Doomed to Cooperate: Averting Post-Cold War Nuclear Dangers

October 2016

At the end of the Cold War, American and Russian scientists came together—overcoming political, cultural, and geographic divides—to work toward a common goal of reducing nuclear threat. In this video, Siegfried S.

People

Phillip Lipscy Center Fellow Assistant Professor, Political Science
Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
David Holloway, CISAC David Holloway Senior Fellow Professor, History, Professor, Political Science
Siegfried S. Hecker Senior Fellow Professor, Management Science and Engineering
Eva Uribe Eva C. Uribe Postdoctoral Fellow
Neil Narang Affiliate
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker