Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies Stanford University


FSI Stanford Publications


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Eye on the Future - The Economists' Practice of Discounting

Journal Article

Authors
Lawrence H. Goulder - Stanford University
Robert N. Stavins

Published by
Nature, October 17, 2002


Decisions made today usually have impacts both now and in the future. But in carrying out policy evaluations to help decision-makers, economic analysts typically discount future impacts. In the environmental realm, many of the future impacts are benefits from policy-induced improvements. Thus, in the environmental policy context, future benefits (as well as costs) are often discounted. This is controversial, partly because discounting can seem to give insufficient weight to future benefits and thus to the well-being of future generations. But does it actually shortchange the future?