Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies Stanford University

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un with chief of general staff of the Korean People's Army at a military ceremony, February 2012.
Photo credit: Reuters

November 8, 2012 - CISAC In the News

Predicting Kim Jong Un's next steps not as easy as our elections results

Appeared in Foreign Policy, November 7, 2012

Amy Zegart, CISAC Faculty Member, writes in Foreign Policy that national security threats can't be predicted as well as election outcomes. Although data can be collected easily about ship locations and military movements, personalities and intentions are unpredictable. Intelligence agencies face this on a daily basis with tough cases such as North Korea's next nuclear test, the outcome of China's rise as a global power, or political outcomes in Myanmar. 

Topics: Elections and electoral reform | Military | Asia-Pacific | Burma | North Korea